Here’s why ‘The Americans’ will kill the competition at the Emmys for its final season

Acclaimed FX spy drama “The Americans” will be given a fitting farewell at the Emmys this year, without the need for any collusion or Russian meddling in the voting process.

Although “The Americans” was a slow-burn at the Emmys to begin with, managing a total of five nominations over its first three seasons (including a guest acting win for Margo Martindale in 2015), it finally broke through in a big way 2016 with five bids, including for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Matthew Rhys), Best Drama Actress (Keri Russell) and a second consecutive win for Martindale. Last year, although it missed the cut in Best Drama Series, it racked up four big nominations, including for both leads, writing and Alison Wright taking Martindale’s place in Best Drama Guest Actress.

According to our combined odds, “The Americans” is currently sitting in seventh place with 10/1 odds in Best Drama Series, which bodes well for it to return to the drama lineup. It helps that two series nominated last year are out of contention (“House of Cards” and “Better Call Saul”). But also in the show’s favor is that the Emmys can be sentimental when it comes to swansong seasons of drama series already on its radar. Over the last seven years, the TV academy gave these farewell hugs:

In 2010, “Lost” received 12 noms for its final season, including for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Matthew Fox), Best Drama Supporting Actor (Terry O’Quinn and Michael Emerson), Best Drama Guest Actress (Elizabeth Mitchell), and directing and writing ibds for series finale “The End.”

In 2011, “Friday Night Lights” received 4 nominations for its final season, including for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Kyle Chandler, who won), Best Drama Actress (Connie Britton), and with show creator Jason Katims winning Best Drama Writing for series finale “Always.”

In 2014, “Breaking Bad” received 13 bids for its final season, sweeping the field on Emmy night by winning Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Bryan Cranston), Best Drama Supporting Actor (Aaron Paul), Best Drama Supporting Actress (Anna Gunn) and Best Drama Writing (for “Ozymandias”), with double bids for show creator Vince Gilligan for writing and directing the series finale “Felina.”

In 2015, “Mad Men” received 10 noms for its final season, including for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Jon Hamm, who won), Best Drama Actress (Elisabeth Moss), Best Drama Supporting Actress (Christina Hendricks) and two writing noms including for its season finale “Person to Person.” That year “Boardwalk Empire” also garnered 10 nominations for its final season, including a directing bid for its series finale “Eldorado.”

In 2016, “Downton Abbey” received 10 nominations for its final season, including for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Supporting Actress (Maggie Smith, who won), Best Drama Writing and Best Drama Directing for its series finale.

SEE 4 reasons Noah Emmerich (‘The Americans’) can finally sneak into the Emmy race

This year look for leads Rhys and Russell to return for a final shot for their work on the show. A potential spoiler in the wide open Best Drama Supporting race could be the overdue Noah Emmerich, who shines in the series finale as the ultimately defeated Agent Stan Beeman. Three-time Emmy winner Martindale is submitted in the Best Drama Supporting Actress category again this year, after being nominated four consecutive times (and winning in 2015 and 2016). She didn’t make the cut last year in the more competitive supporting field, but is a very good chance to return to the Emmys after having much more to do this final season. Also a possibility is fellow supporting player Holly Taylor, fantastic in the series finale as daughter Paige, who’s torn between her secret agent parents and her desire to stay in America with her younger brother, played by Keidrich Sellati.

Elsewhere on the ballot, a fourth consecutive writing bid for show co-creators Joel Fields and Joe Weisberg series finale “SMART” is almost guaranteed, as “The Americans” has been nominated in Best Drama Writing for the last three years. A possible first win in that category is also a real possibility. The show might also break into the directing category for the first time, with two submissions in contention; Chris Long‘s helming of the series finale and “The Great Patriotic War,” the fifth episode of the show’s final season (directed by Emmy vet Thomas Schlamme). Прощай, американцы!

PREDICT the Emmy nominees and winners now; change them until July 12

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on July 12. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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