Yorgos Lanthimos‘ latest film, “The Favourite” was certainly the people’s favourite at the London Film Festival. Here’s the synopsis of the Fox Searchlight picture: “In early 18th century England, a frail Queen Anne (Olivia Colman) occupies the throne and her close friend Lady Sarah (Rachel Weisz) governs the country in her stead. When a new servant Abigail (Emma Stone) arrives, her charm endears her to Sarah.”
Lanthimos contended at the Oscars in 2015 for his original screenplay for The Lobster.” He lost that race to another writer/director, Kenneth Lonergan, for “Manchester by the Sea.” Lanthimos is currently ranked fourth in our predicted Best Director nominees, just ahead of Spike Lee with “BlacKkKlansman.” Ahead of him, however, are a trio of very strong competitors. Damien Chazelle (who won for “La La Land” in 2017) is in third place with “First Man” while Bradley Cooper is second for his directorial debut on “A Star is Born.” In top spot is 2012 champ Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”) for “Roma.”
Olivia Colman will be campaigning in lead for playing the child-like, tantrum-throwing Queen Anne. It’s a riotous performance from Colman, who has never been nominated for an Oscar before but did win a Golden Globe for TV’s “The Night Manager.” She is currently in third place in our odds chart with 9/2 odds, behind Glenn Close (“The Wife”) and Lady Gaga (“A Star is Born”) and is gaining ground on Close pretty rapidly.
Oscar winners Stone and Weisz are likely both be nominated in supporting, but it’s hard to tell who would be more likely to nab the win. Weisz is in fifth place in our odds chart with 15/2 odds, while Stone is just ahead in fourth with 11/2 odds. Stone won two years ago for “La La Land” after being nominated in 2015 for Supporting Actress for “Birdman.” Weisz won on her sole nomination — Best Supporting Actress for “The Constant Gardener” back in 2005.
Nicholas Hoult, meanwhile, should be in the Best Supporting Actor conversation. He is way out of our top 10 at the moment, with 100/1 odds, but his performance is very popular and is quite transformative. It’s his best role to date.
“The Favourite” is fourth in our predicted Best Picture nominees. “First Man,” “Roma” and “A Star is Born” are all ahead of it. It is also currently predicted to be nominated for Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume Design, Editing and Production Design.
The screenplay by Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara is second in our odds chart, behind only Cuaron’s for “Roma.” Lenser Robbie Ryan would earn his first Oscar nod for this film, while production designer Fiona Crombie would also be a first-time nominee.
Conversely, costume designer Sandy Powell is Oscar royalty. She has been nominated 12 times and has won three of those bids: “Shakespear in Love” (1999), “The Aviator” (2005) and “The Young Victoria” (2010). Her most recent nominations came in 2016 when she was nominated twice in one year for her work on “Carol” and “Cinderella.” She is currently predicted to win her fourth Oscar for this film, ahead of “Black Panther” in second place. She is also predicted to be nominated for “Mary Poppins Returns,” which would make the third time in her career that she’d be nominated twice in the same year.