2018 Tony Awards nominations preview: ‘Harry Potter and the Cursed Child,’ ‘The Band’s Visit’ will dominate

Nominations for the 2018 Tony Awards will be announced at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, May 1. After a slew of last-minute eligibility decisions from the administration committee that oversees these top theater honors, time is running out to update your Tony predictions. The most surprising move by the committee was the declaration that all categories with at least nine eligible productions will have five nominees. This means a full slate of five in both of the top play races (as well as for the design awards and orchestrations).

According to our official Tony Awards odds, the Broadway version of the Olivier-winning “Harry Potter and the Cursed Child” is favored to win Best Play. Two other British imports, “The Children” and “Farinelli and the King,” are likely to reap bids as is Ayad Akhtar’s “Junk.” The new fifth slot offers a close race between John Leguizamo’s solo show “Latin History for Morons,” Steve Martin’s raucous comedy “Meteor Shower,” and the disturbing adaptation of “1984.”

Play Revival is shaping up to be a showdown between “Angels in America” (another two-part epic) and “Three Tall Women.” Joining them should be two offerings from non-profit houses: Roundabout’s “Travesties” and Second Stage’s “Lobby Hero.” The inclusion of a fifth nominee will help George C. Wolfe’s four hour “The Iceman Cometh” secure a slot, though “Children of a Lesser God” could pull off a surprise.

SEE 2018 Tony Awards predictions: Complete odds for 72nd Tonys nominations

The Best Musical race lies in stark contrast to last season when 13 original tuners debuted. Just seven new works compete for this year’s top prize, led by Off-Broadway transfer “The Band’s Visit.” In a more crowded year, this intimate show would have a devil of a time standing out. The other nominees will likely be big brand properties “SpongeBob SquarePants,” “Mean Girls,” and “Frozen.” However, if the nominating committee tires of throwing Tony love at movie adaptations, there’s a chance they will invite the Hal Prince musical revue “Prince of Broadway” into the fold.

PREDICT the Tony Awards nominees and winners now; change them until May 1

Only three Musical Revivals opened this season, so unless the voters detest one of them “Carousel,” “My Fair Lady,” and “Once on This Island” are all good for a nomination. While “Carousel” could be a major contender for Justin Peck’s choreography, the big battle lies between “My Fair Lady” and “Island.” For the former, Lincoln Center Theater recruited Bartlett Sher to direct yet another gloriously lush revival, and it could not be more opposite from Michael Arden’s inventive and immersive reimagining of “Once on This Island.” The race will come down to the wire.

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Be sure to make your Tony Awards predictions today so that Broadway insiders can see how their shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on May 1. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Tonys taking place right now in our theater forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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