VMAs mystery: Will Camila Cabello (‘Havana’) be as popular as a solo artist as she was with Fifth Harmony?

At the 2018 MTV Video Music Awards Camila Cabello has done something her former group Fifth Harmony wasn’t able to do: earn a nomination for Video of the Year. She’s up for her breakthrough solo hit “Havana” featuring Young Thug. But while the girl group was never nominated in the top race they were fan-favorites in other categories. Will Cabello be just as formidable on her own? Watch her telenovela-inspired video above.

From 2014 to 2016 Fifth Harmony won three VMAs out of four nominations: Artist to Watch for their debut video “Miss Movin’ On” (2014), Best Collaboration for “Work from Home” featuring Ty Dolla $ign (2016) and Song of the Summer for “All in My Head (Flex)” featuring Fetty Wap.

Then Cabello departed from the group at the end of 2016 under somewhat contentious circumstances. The remaining four members returned to the VMAs in 2017, when they won Best Pop Video for “Down” featuring Gucci Mane. Now Cabello is back at the VMAs on her own.

Cabello actually earned her first solo VMA nomination in 2017, when she contended for Song of the Summer for “OMG” featuring Quavo. She was up against Fifth Harmony’s “Down,” but they both lost to Lil Uzi Vert for “XO Tour Llif3.” Perhaps they split the Harmonizer vote.

But now the newly solo singer is nominated five times. In addition to Video of the Year, “Havana” is also up for Song of the Year, Best Pop Video and Best Choreography. And Cabello additionally contends for Artist of the Year. But this time there’s no Fifth Harmony to split votes with as the other four members also decided to go their separate ways earlier this year.

Past VMA results have shown that it’s foolish to underestimate Fifth Harmony at any fan-voted event. The Harmonizers could probably vote the group into Congress if they really wanted to. But as of this writing Cabello ranks last in our predictions for Video of the Year with odds of 9/2. “This is America” by Childish Gambino currently has the advantage with leading odds of 4/5.

Do you agree, or are we underestimating Cabello?

Be sure to make your MTV Video Music Award predictions so that music executives and top name stars can see how they’re faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until winners are announced on August 20. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 VMAs taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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