The winners of the 72nd annual BAFTA Awards were revealed on February 10. This was just 36 hours before Oscar voters began weigh in with their choices for the winners of the 91st annual Academy Awards. The British Academy of Film and Television Academy has approximately 8,000 voting members as does the academy.
The BAFTAs and Oscars have 18 categories in common. Last year, 13 of the BAFTA winners had a chance to practice their Oscar acceptance speeches, including all four acting champs. In 2017, the BAFTAs batted .500, with nine winners going on to claim Oscars and another nine not.
“Roma” won the same four awards for Alfonso Cuaron that he is expected to claim at the Oscars: Best Picture, Director, Cinematography and Foreign Language Film. However, the British film “The Favourite” overperformed at the BAFTAs compared to its Oscar odds, winning six equivalent awards (plus Best British Film).
We do favor “The Favourite” at the Oscars for Original Screenplay, Costume Design and Production Design. But we expect Glenn Close (“The Wife”) to win Best Actress over Olivia Colman. And we are confident that the “Vice” makeup and hair team will rally at the Oscars. Rachel Weisz could prove a strong challenger in the Supporting Actress race to long-time frontrunner Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”).
The two male acting winners — lead Rami Malek (“Bohemian Rhapsody”) and supporting player Mahershala Ali (“Green Book”) — made these races look more like locks at the Academy Awards.
Since the BAFTAs moved up in 2000 to take place before the Oscars, the BAFTAs have foreseen eight of the 17 Best Picture Oscar winners. The Brits have gone their own way for the last four years running. In 2018, the BAFTAs went with the home-grown “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” over “The Shape of Water.” In 2017, the British embraced “La La Land” over eventual Oscar winner “Moonlight.” Likewise in 2016, they opted for “The Revenant” instead of the academy’s choice “Spotlight” and in 2015 it’s pick was “Boyhood” while Best Picture at the Oscars went to “Birdman.”
However, they got it right in the first five years of the expanded Best Picture race: “The Hurt Locker” (2010), “The King’s Speech” (2011), “The Artist” (2012), “Argo” (2013) and “12 Years a Slave” (2014). And the British academy also previewed the Oscar wins for “Gladiator” (2001), “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2004) and “Slumdog Millionaire” (2009).
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 24.