2019 DGA Awards predictions: Alfonso Cuaron all but certain to win key Oscar precursor

Alfonso Cuaron is overwhelmingly favored to win at the Directors Guild of America Awards on Feb. 2. Should he take home the DGA prize for his helming of “Roma,” he is all but certain to prevail at the Oscars as well. All but seven of the 70 DGA champs went on to pick up an Academy Awards bookend.

Before the show on Saturday be sure to check out our updated DGA odds. These are generated by the predictions of more than 1,000 Gold Derby readers plus film journalists who are experts at these awards, our in-house team of nine editors, the two dozen readers who did the best at forecasting last year’s DGA awards and those 24 readers who were tops for two years running.

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Cuaron has the backing of all of our experts and editors as well as all but a handful of the Top 24 and All-Star users. Several readers in each of these groups are predicting upsets by first-time DGA nominees Spike Lee (“BlacKkKlansman”) or Bradley Cooper (“A Star is Born”). Nobody is expecting either Peter Farrelly (“Green Book”) or Adam McKay (“Vice”) to win.

Cuaron won this award on his only other bid five years ago for “Gravity.” McKay contended three years ago for “The Big Short” but was bested by Cuaron’s pal Alejandro G. Inarritu (“The Revenant”), who went on to win at the Academy Awards. McKay is also nominated on the TV side this year for helming an episode of the drama “Succession.”

Cooper, who was snubbed by the Oscars (as was Farrelly), is heavily favored to win Best First-Time Director. The other contenders in that category are: Bo Burnham (“Eighth Grade”), Carlos Lopez Estrada(“Blindspotting”), Matthew Heinman (“A Private War”) and Boots Riley(“Sorry to Bother You”).

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