2019 Oscar Best Picture predictions by experts: After BAFTA wins, ‘Roma’ widens lead

Roma” may have won only four BAFTAs to those seven for “The Favourite” but this haul included the top prize of Best Picture. Multi-hyphenate Alfonso Cuaron shared in that win as well as the one for Best Foreign Language Film and claimed the other two on his own for directing and lensing this intimate memoir.

Heading into these precursor prizes, his film was already out front to win Best Picture at the Oscars. Mindful that the British academy often previews the Academy Awards, our Oscar experts from major media outlets have been busy updating their predictions. All but four of our 24 pundits are now predicting “Roma” to prevail on February 24. That support translates into leading odds of 4/1 for it to take the top prize at the Academy Awards.

Three of our Oscarologists favor SAG Awards winner “Black Panther” while one is expecting PGA champ “Green Book” to pull off an upset. See the individual rankings by experts and the resulting odds. And see how our experts rank Oscar contenders in the other 23 races according to the likelihood of winning in the key races. Use the drop-down menus at the top of each page to see the other categories.

SEE Will the Oscars be a rerun of the BAFTAs?

Here’s how the Best Picture predictions break down by expert as well as the most up-to-date odds for each of the eight nominees to win:


1. “Roma: 20 experts (4/1 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby)
Eric Deggans (NPR)
Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior)
Joyce Eng (Gold Derby)
Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life)
Tim Gray (Variety)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Susan King (Gold Derby)
Andrea Mandell (USA Today)
Scott Mantz (Collider)
Jack Mathews (Gold Derby)
Michael Musto (NewNowNext)
Perri Nemiroff (Collider)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo)
Claudia Puig (KPCC)
Keith Simanton (IMDB)
Anne Thompson (Indiewire)
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)
Susan Wloszczyna(Gold Derby)

2. “Green Book”: 1 expert (6/1 odds)
Erik Davis (Fandango)

3. “BlacKkKlansman”: (15/2 odds)

3. “The Favourite”: (15/2 odds)

4. “Black Panther”: 3 experts (8/1 odds)
Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo)
Christopher Rosen (TVGuide.com)
Brian Truitt (USA Today)

4. “A Star is Born”: (8/1 odds)

5. “Vice”: (19/2 odds)

6. “Bohemian Rhapsody”: (9/1 odds)

DISCUSS All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 24. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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