2019 Oscar Best Picture predictions by experts: ‘Roma’ has early lead over ‘BlacKkKlansman’ following nominations announcement

In the wake of the 2019 Academy Awards nominations announcement on Jan. 22, our Oscar experts from major media outlets have started to make their Best Picture predictions. Alfonso Cuaron‘s memoir “Roma,” which reaped a leading 10 nominations, has the early lead with 14 of our 16 pundits predicting it to win on February 24. Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman” has the backing of just two experts. None of the other six nominees is predicted to prevail in the top race at the 91st Academy Awards.

That support for “Roma” gives it odds of 39/10 to take home the Best Picture award while “BlacKkKlansman” has odds of 6/1 to pull off an upset. (See the individual rankings by experts and the resulting odds.) And see how our experts rank Oscar contenders in the other 23 races according to the likelihood of winning in the key races. Use the drop-down menus at the top of each page to see the other categories.

SEE 2019 Oscars calendar: SAG Awards on January 27

Here’s how the Best Picture predictions break down by expert as well as the most up-to-date odds for each of the eight nominees to win:


1. “Roma: 14 experts (13/2 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby)
Eric Deggans (NPR)
Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior)
Joyce Eng (Gold Derby)
Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Andrea Mandell (USA Today)
Michael Musto (NewNowNext)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo)
Claudia Puig (KPCC)
Christopher Rosen (TVGuide.com)
Anne Thompson (Indiewire)
Susan Wloszczyna(Gold Derby)

2. “BlacKkKlansman”: Two experts (6/1 odds)
Tim Gray (Variety)
Jack Mathews (Gold Derby)

3. “The Favourite”: (15/2 odds)

3. “Green Book”: (7/1 odds)

5. “A Star is Born”: (17/2 odds)

6. “Vice”: (10/1 odds)

7. “Black Panther”: (11/1 odds)

8. “Bohemian Rhapsody”:(12/1 odds)

DISCUSS All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 24. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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