Our official odds have the Spanish language “Roma” winning four Oscars including Best Picture while the Brit flick “The Favourite” is tipped to take home three on Sunday, February 24. Not surprisingly these two films lead with 10 nominations each for the 91st Academy Awards.
“Roma” will also bring Alfonso Cuaron his second Best Director Oscar, following his win five years ago for “Gravity.” He is also expected to pick up the Best Cinematography award and share in the win for Best Foreign Language Film. “The Favourite” will win for its original screenplay as well as both design awards for costumes and production.
“Vice,” the satirical biography of Dick Cheney, reaped eight bids and is expected to prevail in two races for the makeup artists and hairstylists who transformed Christian Bale into this politico as well as for film editing. Also tipped to take two awards is five-time contender “Bohemian Rhapsody” with wins for the star turn by Rami Malek as Queen frontman Freddie Mercury and sound mixing.
Two films were unexpectedly shut out of the Best Picture race but are still predicted to win elsewhere: “If Beale Street Could Talk” will go two for three (supporting actress for Regina King and score) while “First Man” will win one of its four Oscar races (sound editing).
“A Star is Born” will win just one of its eight races with Lady Gaga sharing in the Oscar for her song “Shallow.” Likewise “BlacKkKlansman” will have success in just one of its six categories with director Spike Lee sharing in the adapted screenplay win. And “Green Book” will find favor for only one of its five nominations with Mahershala Ali winning Best Supporting Actor for the second time in three years.
Several films reaped just one nomination but that will be enough. “The Wife” will finally win leading lady Glenn Close an Oscar after six losses. “Avengers: Infinity War” will take home the visual effects award. “Free Solo” and “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” will win the animated and documentary feature races respectively.
Conversely, “Black Panther” won’t be so lucky with its seven nominations; we are predicting it will be shut out.
The three short film awards will go to “Bao” (animated), “Period. End of Sentence” (documentary) and “Marguerite” ( live-action).
Our official odds come from a combination of five sets of Oscar predictions: 30 film Experts, our 9 Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 readers who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar winners, the All-Star 24 who got the highest scores for the last two years combined, and thousands of readers like you.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 24.