Breaking down the precursor awards — both nominations and winners — as well as the top Oscar nominations by categories gives us 35 key categories that will determine the strongest Oscar contenders. With the first nominations of 2019, the PGA Awards, now announced, the Best Picture race continues to take shape with four films now out front having already dominated the early rounds.
After earning a PGA Awards nomination for Best Picture, Bradley Cooper‘s “A Star is Born,” Spike Lee’s “BlacKkKlansman,” Peter Farrelly‘s “Green Book” and Adam McKay‘s “Vice” all sit on seven boxes ticked each. Take a look at the full table below:
“The Favourite” sits on six boxes ticked after also garnering a PGA bid.
In third place is “Bohemian Rhapsody” with five boxes ticked after receiving a surprise PGA nom. “Crazy Rich Asians,” too received a PGA nomination and now sits on four boxes ticked along with fellow PGA nominees “Black Panther” and “Roma,” as well as two films snubbed by the guild: “Mary Poppins Returns” and “If Beale Street Could Talk.”
“Beale Street” continues to stay stuck in the mud after previously missing out entirely at SAG. Barry Jenkins‘ film will need to start finding success soon if it hopes to stay in the Oscar race. “A Quiet Place” also earned a surprise bid at PGA, though that is less competitive in the overall race with only two boxes ticked.
“First Man” is also on two and seems to be slipping further out of the Oscar race with each precursor announcement. “Widows,” meanwhile, is still at zero. Ouch.
In the coming days, there will be a slew of awards group nominations, including the Golden Globe ceremony Sunday (eek!), which will be the next round of boxes in this theory, while the ACE Eddie, WGA, DGA and BAFTA nominations quickly follow. Stay tuned.
Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 22.