Twenty-eight film journalists who cover Hollywood year-round are experts at predicting the Oscars. As the guild awards wrap up, they are finalizing their predictions for the 91st Academy Awards, which take place on February 24. According to our official racetrack odds, seven of the eight Best Picture nominees will take home at least one Oscar. One of these contenders is expected to claim four awards, another will win three, two more will win a pair of awards and three will take home a single Oscar. The other — seven-time nominee “Black Panther” — will leave the Dolby theater empty-handed.
“Roma,” which is tied for first place among the nominees with 10 bids, is predicted to win four of those races: Best Picture, Best Director (Alfonso Cuaron), Best Cinematography and Best Foreign Language Film.
Its co-leader for the most nominations, “The Favourite,” is tipped to take home three: Best Original Screenplay, Best Costume Design and Best Production Design.
Two of the Best Picture nominees, “A Star is Born” and “Vice,” reaped eight bids apiece. The former is expected to win for song (“Shallow) and sound mixing while the latter will also collect two prizes (film editing, makeup and hairstyling).
Six-time contender “BlacKkKlansman” will win one Oscar, with director Spike Lee sharing in the Adapted Screenplay award.
The breakout hit “Bohemian Rhapsody” is predicted to go one for five, with Rami Malek winning Best Actor for his riveting portrayal of Queen frontman Freddie Mercury. Likewise for the other five-time nominee, “Green Book,” with Mahershala Ali expected to collect his second Supporting Actor in just three years.
PREDICT the Oscar winners now; change them until February 24
Last year, two of the nine Best Picture nominees were shut out entirely: five-time nominee “Lady Bird” and two-time contender “The Post.” In 2017, three of the nine left empty-handed: “Lion,” which had six bids; four-time contender “Hell or High Water”; and three-time nominee “Hidden Figures.” In 2016, six of the eight Best Picture contenders (75%) took home Oscars (“Brooklyn” and “The Martian” were overlooked). And in 2015 the entire Best Picture roster of eight won at least one Academy Award.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 24.
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