We are guaranteed a new supporting actress winner at Sunday’s Screen Actors Guild Awards with Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice champ Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”) snubbed — and surprise, surprise, Amy Adams looks to be the beneficiary of her absence.
The “Vice” star has a commanding 82/25 odds to take home the award for her performance as Lynne Cheney. Adams is the pick of 14 Experts, eight Editors and 20 of our Top 24 Users. It’d be her first individual win, following her ensemble prize for “American Hustle” (2013). She’s also the favorite on the TV side for “Sharp Objects,” so it could be pretty great night for Adams overall if she goes 2 for 2. Only Helen Mirren (“The Queen,” 2006; “Elizabeth I”) and Idris Elba (“Beasts of No Nation,” 2015; “Luther”) have won two individual SAG Awards in one night.
A win could be the start of a surge for Adams in the Oscar race since King is also snubbed at BAFTA, so Adams could pick up a lot of momentum in the next few weeks. In our early Oscar odds, King is still the favorite to prevail, but six-time nominee Adams is on her heels.
In second place in our SAG Awards odds is Rachel Weisz (“The Favourite”), who’s looking for her second win in the category after triumphing 13 years ago for “The Constant Gardener.” She’d join Kate Winslet (“Sense and Sensibility,” 1995; “The Reader,” 2008) as the only two-time champs in the category.
Weisz’s co-star Emma Stone is in third place. A winner in lead two years ago for “La La Land,” she would become the fifth woman to win both categories, following Helen Mirren (“The Queen,” 2006; “Gosford Park,” 2001), Renee Zellweger (“Chicago,” 2002; “Cold Mountain,” 2003), Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine,” 2013; “The Aviator,” 2004) and Viola Davis (“The Help,” 2011; “Fences,” 2016).
Emily Blunt (“A Quiet Place”) and Margot Robbie (“Mary Queen of Scots”) are in fourth and fifth place, respectively. Neither made the Oscar lineup, so it’d be an upset of Idris Elba proportions if either pulled it off.
Be sure to make your SAG Awards predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on Jan. 27. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 SAG Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.