The first battle between the Golden Globes’ drama and comedy/musical actor champs, Christian Bale (“Vice”) and Rami Malek (“Bohemian Rhapsody”), went to the former at the Critics’ Choice Awards. And it looks like it’ll be deja vu at Sunday’s Screen Actors Guild Awards.
Bale has 18/5 odds in our predictions to take home the lead actor prize, which would not only make him the overwhelming Best Actor Oscar frontrunner but also make him the first man to win lead and supporting SAG Awards. Bale prevailed in supporting eight years ago for “The Fighter” and also has an ensemble victory for “American Hustle” (2013), along with an additional nomination in supporting for “The Big Short” (2015).
If you’re wondering, four women have accomplished the lead and supporting SAG double: Helen Mirren (“The Queen,” 2006; “Gosford Park,” 2001), Renee Zellweger (“Chicago,” 2002; “Cold Mountain,” 2003), Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine,” 2013; “The Aviator,” 2004) and Viola Davis (“The Help,” 2011; “Fences,” 2016).
Bale emerged as SAG and Oscar frontrunner, dethroning Bradley Cooper (“A Star Is Born”), after his Globe and two Critics’ Choice wins (Best Actor and Best Comedy Actor) for his transformative turn as Dick Cheney. But he must be wary of Malek, who’s in second with 37/10 odds and also plays a notable real-life — and in his case, beloved — figure, Freddie Mercury. Unlike “Vice,” “Bohemian Rhapsody” also snatched an ensemble nomination even though the movie is mostly a one-man show, so there’s lots of support for the broad-appealing worldwide hit.
Cooper is in third place, followed by Viggo Mortensen (“Green Book”) and John David Washington (“BlacKkKlansman”).
Save for Washington, who was Oscar-snubbed, whoever wins will be hard to take down at the Oscars. The SAG Awards and Oscars have only anointed different Best Actor winners five times in the SAG Awards’ 24-year history.
Be sure to make your SAG Awards predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on Jan. 27. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 SAG Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.