2020 SAG Awards predictions slugfest: Will ‘Succession’ or ‘The Morning Show’ sneak in to crowded drama field? [WATCH]

“You’re crazy,” Gold Derby editor Zach Laws tells me and fellow contributor Riley Chow upon hearing that HBO’s “Succession” isn’t in our predictions for the drama ensemble category at the 26th Screen Actors Guild Awards. Watch as we dissect the TV races in the video slugfest above, ahead of the official nominations announcement on December 11.

Although our panel agrees that “Big Little Lies,” “Game of Thrones,” “The Crown” and two-time reigning champ “This Is Us” are safe bets in best drama ensemble, we differ on our fifth choices. “It seems like a no-brainer to me,” Laws says about “Succession” sneaking into the lineup. After an already acclaimed first season, which snagged five Emmy Award nods and two wins, the second one went on to see an uptick in viewership and critical acclaim. “It was the show everyone was talking about,” Laws stresses. Chow and I, however, aren’t too confident about the critical darling, bearing in mind that SAG voters tend to take a while before latching onto a show. Plus, we are concerned about its shutout in the acting categories at the Emmys, even if those only considered the show for its first season. I am defaulting to 2018’s ensemble winner “Stranger Things” in my fifth slot, while Chow is currently putting his money on “The Handmaid’s Tale.”

“But what about Apple TV+?” Chow asks. Although we aren’t ruling out potential nods for the rookie streaming service, we are worried about its November 1 launch, which may not have given voters ample time to dive into the service’s shows before voting began in mid-November. With that being said, we are particularly keeping an eye out for Jennifer Aniston in the drama actress category, who is receiving career-best notices for her turn on “The Morning Show.”

On the comedy side, we expect Best Comedy Series Emmy winner “Fleabag,” which racked up six statuettes overall, to continue its upward trajectory with SAG. We agree that the cast and leading lady Phoebe Waller-Bridge are formidable threats in their respective races, but Chow goes as far as, “My upset prediction is that Andrew Scott is actually going to win Best Comedy Actor.” The fact that he was snubbed at the Emmys doesn’t worry Chow, as he’s convinced that “Fleabag” has now been more widely seen. While we would be happy with that outcome, Laws and I are looking to either reigning SAG champ Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) or two-time Best Comedy Actor defending Emmy champ Bill Hader (“Barry”) as potential front-runners.

Finally, we urge to keep a sharp lookout for Netflix shows, given SAG’s past affinity for the streaming service – whether that means across-the-board nods for Ryan Murphy’s “The Politician” in the comedy races, limited series/TV movie actress bids the “Unbelievable” trio (Toni Collette, Kaitlyn Dever and Merritt Wever) or even double “Dead to Me” noms for Christina Applegate and Linda Cardellini in Best Comedy Actress.

PREDICT the SAG Awards nominations; change them until December 11

Be sure to make your SAG Awards nominee predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on December 11. And join in the fun debate over the 2020 SAG Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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