SAG Awards 2019 film report: Wakanda forever! ‘Black Panther’ takes top honors, while Rami Malek and Emily Blunt upset

Who won at the 25th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards when prizes were handed out on Sunday night, January 27? And what, if anything, do they tell us about the Oscars next month? Scroll down for our live report of all the film winners as they’re announced, and check out the complete list of winners here.

There are only six categories for film at these kudos, but they’re crucially important for us Oscarologists when it comes to anticipating what the motion picture academy will do. Like the Oscars, these are industry peer group awards, and the two groups’ winners tend to line up. In the last five years, for instance, every acting winner at the SAG Awards went on to repeat at the Academy Awards except for two: Denzel Washington for his leading role in “Fences” (the Oscar went to Casey Affleck for “Manchester by the Sea”) and Idris Elba for his supporting performance in “Beasts of No Nation” (he wasn’t even nominated at the Oscars, where Mark Rylance prevailed for “Bridge of Spies”).

But we don’t see quite as much agreement between SAG’s top ensemble award and Oscar’s Best Picture. Only 11 of the 23 winning casts corresponded to the academy’s top pick. There was a chance for another disconnect this year since the Oscar front-runner as of this writing is “Roma,” which wasn’t even nominated at the SAG Awards.

So what kind of impact will the SAG Awards have on the kudos to come? Find out below (all times listed are Eastern).

5:49pm — “Black Panther” strikes first by winning Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture. The category was presented on the red carpet by SAG Awards ambassador Harry Shum Jr., who is also nominated tonight as a member of the cast of “Crazy Rich Asians.” “Black Panther” was heavily favored to win this award, according to our predictions, but this is actually the first Marvel movie ever to prevail here. A couple of DC Comics movies have won, though: “The Dark Knight” (2008) and “Wonder Woman” (2017).

8:28pmOutstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role goes to … Emily Blunt for “A Quiet Place”! “That has completely blown my slicked hair back,” she upon accepting the award, which is the first of her career. Blunt also thanks her husband and director John Krasinski for casting her in the movie: “You would have been in major trouble if you hadn’t.” It was a shocking victory because she wasn’t even nominated for an Oscar. This makes her only the second performer to win a SAG Award without a corresponding nomination from the motion picture academy. The first was Idris Elba, who won for his supporting role in “Beasts of No Nation” (2015) but was snubbed by the Oscars. This might be actually be good news for Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”), who was snubbed at the SAG Awards but won’t have to square off against Blunt for the Oscar.

8:34pmOutstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role goes to Mahershala Ali for “Green Book.” He’s the first person to win this SAG Award twice, but this one wasn’t a surprise since Ali also picked up Best Supporting Actor honors from the Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice, and he’s the currently front-runner to win the Oscar according to our latest odds. This is Ali’s third SAG Award victory in three years. He previously won for his supporting role in “Moonlight” (2016) and his ensemble performance in “Hidden Figures” (2016). The winner of this award has gone on to win the Oscar 15 out of 24 times in the past.

9:41pmOutstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role goes to Rami Malek for “Bohemian Rhapsody”! It’s the first SAG Award of his career even though he was previously nominated twice for his performance in the TV drama “Mr. Robot,” but it was a slight upset since Christian Bale (“Vice”) had just won a Golden Globe for playing Dick Cheney and then beat Malek at the Critics’ Choice Awards, so most of us had been better on Bale. Is the Oscar next for Malek? Quite possibly. Only 5 out of 24 past winners in this category failed to win the Oscar for Best Actor, most recently Denzel Washington for “Fences.”

9:51pmOutstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role is awarded to Glenn Close for “The Wife”! Is it a done deal for her at the Oscars? 18 out of 24 past SAG winners have won the Oscar for Best Actress. And now that Close has swept through Golden Globes, the Critics’ Choice Awards and the SAG Awards, it’s getting harder and harder to imagine anyone else catching up to her momentum.

9:59pm — Wakanda forever! “Black Panther” wins Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture. That makes it the only film to win multiple prizes tonight since it also claimed the award for its stunt ensemble before the telecast started. This is only the third time that a film wins for its ensemble at the SAG Awards without a corresponding bid for any individual performances, following “The Full Monty” (1997) and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003). Accepting on behalf of the cast, leading man Chadwick Boseman says, “To be young, gifted and black, we all know what it’s like to be told that there’s no place for you.” “Black Panther” has certainly demonstrated that there is a place for a cast and a story like this to make a billion-dollar impact and achieve unprecedented awards success for a Marvel Comics blockbuster. But does this mean the film will win the Oscar for Best Picture? Not so fast. Only 11 out of 23 winning ensembles have corresponded to the Best Picture Oscar winner.

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