“A Star is Born” will lead with the most Oscar nominations on Tuesday (Jan. 22). We’re predicting that Bradley Cooper‘s remake of this Hollywood classic will reap 11 bids: Best Picture, Director, Actor (Cooper), Actress (Lady Gaga), Supporting Actor (Sam Elliott), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Original Song, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing.
That far outpaces how the first three versions of this film fared at the Academy Awards. The 1937 original starring Oscar winners Fredric March and Janet Gaynor earned seven nominations. Judy Garland‘s lavish 1954 musical version got six. And Barbra Streisand‘s 1976 misfire managed just four.
However, the results of these 17 races are not encouraging for Cooper and company. The 1937 film won just one Oscar in the now-defunct Best Original Story category. The 1954 musical remake was shut-out and the 1976 version claimed just one award: “Evergreen” won Best Original Song for Streisand and lyricist Paul Williams.
We are predicting that Lady Gaga will share in a win for Best Original Song for “Shallow.” And we think that this tune-filled film will win Best Sound Mixing as did other musicals like “Chicago,” “Dreamgirls,” “Ray” and “Les Miserables.”
However, we expect “A Star is Born” to lose all nine of its other races.
Best Picture is tipped to go to “Roma” with that film’s multi-hyphenate Alfonso Cuaron also claiming Oscars for directing, lensing and film editing. Cooper is expected to fall short in Best Actor to Christian Bale (“Vice) while Best Actress is expected to go to six-time Oscar also-ran Glenn Close (“The Wife”). Elliott will lose his first Oscar race to Mahershala Ali (“Green Book”). Cooper and his co-writers will lose to Spike Lee, who will take home his first Oscar for his “BlacKkKlansman” screenplay. And “First Man” is predicted to claim the Sound Editing award.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on January 22.