“A Star Is Born” leads the Screen Actors Guild Awards with four nominations and is one of 18 films to get four bids. But might it walk away empty-handed? If it does, it’d be the sixth movie to go 0-4.
The film is up for ensemble, lead actor for Bradley Cooper, lead actress for Lady Gaga and supporting actor for Sam Elliott, but it’s currently not projected to win any of them in on our combined odds. “A Star Is Born” is in second to “Black Panther” in ensemble, while Christian Bale (“Vice”) and Glenn Close (“The Wife”) have leapfrogged over one-time favorites Cooper and Gaga following their Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice victories. And Elliott is in third place, trailing Richard E. Grant (“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”) and Globe and Critics’ Choice champ Mahershala Ali (“Green Book”).
If our predictions are correct, “A Star Is Born” would join four-time SAG losers “The English Patient” (1996), “The Hours” (2002), “Brokeback Mountain” (2005), “Into the Wild” (2007) and “Manchester by the Sea” (2016). Of these, all but “Brokeback Mountain” and “Into the Wild” went on to win acting Oscars (Juliette Binoche for “The English Patient,” Nicole Kidman for “The Hours” and Casey Affleck for “Manchester by the Sea”). All except “Into the Wild” had Best Picture and Best Director Oscar nominations as well, with “The English Patient” winning both and “Brokeback” taking director (“Into the Wild” only got two bids, Best Supporting Actor for Hal Holbrook and Best Editing).
Long believed to be a Best Picture favorite, “A Star Is Born” has had a muted awards performance so far. “Roma” steamrolled the critics awards as expected, but “A Star Is Born” took a blow with just one win, for Best Original Song, at the Golden Globes. It did slightly better at Critics’ Choice with wins for Best Original Song and Best Actress for Lady Gaga, who tied with Close. It’s getting the nominations, but has trouble turning them into wins.
One thing in “A Star Is Born”‘s corner, though, is that it’s ruled the guild nominations so far, going 11 for 12, missing, as expected, visual effects. Guild awards start Saturday with the Producers Guild Awards, so maybe the industry will be less hesitant in actually rewarding the movie.
Be sure to make your SAG Awards predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on Jan. 27. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 SAG Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.