Ben Whishaw (“A Very English Scandal“) has led our Emmy predictions for Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actor ever since we opened our predictions center earlier this spring. But might we be underestimating his rivals? According to our racetrack odds, he needs to be most wary of two actors from “Catch-22“: Oscar winner George Clooney and past Emmy champ Kyle Chandler.
Whishaw co-stars in “Scandal” as Norman Scott, who is the victim of an attempted murder orchestrated by his lover, prominent politician Jeremy Thorpe (played by Hugh Grant). Written by BAFTA winner Russell T. Davies (“Queer as Folk,” “Doctor Who”) and directed by Oscar nominee Stephen Frears (“The Grifters,” “The Queen”), the three-part series certainly had an impressive pedigree, and Whishaw has already been awarded for his performance by the Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice Awards.
But “Catch-22” wasn’t eligible at those awards since it didn’t premiere until this May. The Hulu adaptation of the classic novel is set during World War II and features Clooney and Chandler in showy performances as often buffoonish military commanders. Clooney has an Emmy IOU to cash in since he never won for his work on “ER,” and Emmy voters might be doubly impressed by him since he is also a producer and director of the series.
Meanwhile, Chandler is a proven Emmy favorite. He was a surprise Best Drama Actor winner for the final season of “Friday Night Lights,” and then he was nominated twice more for his role on “Bloodline.” This more comic performance is a marked change of pace for the dramatic actor, so he may stand out from his rivals.
As of this writing Whishaw is still the Emmy front-runner with leading odds of 71/20. Those odds are based on the combined predictions of thousands of Gold Derby readers who have made their picks so far. Among those, 13 out of the 16 Expert journalists we’ve polled agree with the consensus that he’ll win: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Debbie Day (Rotten Tomatoes), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Chris Harnick (E!), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Kelly Lawler (USA Today), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Kaitlin Thomas (TVGuide.com), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby).
But that leaves three Experts who are going out on a limb. Gold Derby’s own Tom O’Neil says Clooney will prevail, while Ben Travers (IndieWire) says it will be Chandler. Our last Expert, Anne Thompson (IndieWire) is currently going out on a limb for Paul Dano (“Escape at Dannemora”), who ranks fourth in our overall odds. Can Whishaw maintain his momentum, or will “Catch-22” catch him off guard?
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominations are announced on July 16. And join in the fun debate over the 2019 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.