Beyonce and the Boss: Emmy tale as old as time, but who will win happily ever after?

The Emmys are going to look a lot like the Grammys, at least in one category at this weekend’s Creative Arts Awards. The front-runners to win Best Variety Special (Pre-Recorded) are Beyonce‘s concert documentary “Homecoming” and Bruce Springsteen‘s stage-to-screen performance of “Springsteen on Broadway.” Between them they have won an astonishing 43 Grammys, but neither has been awarded yet by the television academy. Which one — if either — will prevail in this close contest?

As of this writing Beyonce is out front with leading odds of 69/20 based on the combined predictions of over 1,000 Gold Derby users as of this writing. That includes support from five of the Expert journalists we’ve surveyed from top media outlets: Eric Deggans (NPR), Jazz Tangcay (Awards Daily), Ben Travers (IndieWire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby). But this might not be the only victory for Queen Bey. She could be crowned three more times over the weekend: Best Variety Special Directing, Best Variety Special Writing and Best Music Direction.

Springsteen ranks second in our predictions with 39/10 odds with support from only one Expert: Robert Rorke (New York Post). But Springsteen is already an award winner for his Broadway special: He received an honorary Tony for the production. The Boss is also an Oscar winner, but he won’t technically be an EGOT winner if he claims the Emmy this year: honorary awards don’t count towards that grand slam, so he’d still need to win a competitive Tony to complete that honor.

But this race might not just be a battle of the superstar musicians. Hannah Gadsby‘s much-discussed comedy special “Nanette” was a word-of-mouth sensation when it premiered last summer, and it’s a close third in our forecasts with 4/1 odds. A stand-up special won this award just last year when “Dave Chappelle: Equanimity” claimed the honor. Of course, Netflix probably won’t mind which of those three contenders comes out on top since they all belong to the streaming service. Who do you think has the edge?

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before winners are announced on September 22. And join in the fun debate over the 2019 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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