Besides “Game of Thrones” in Best Drama Series and Best Drama Supporting Actor for Peter Dinklage, five other major Emmy categories could have repeat champs — all on the comedy side, spread between two shows: Best Comedy Series (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”), Best Comedy Actress (Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”), Best Comedy Supporting Actress (Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”), Best Comedy Actor (Bill Hader, “Barry”) and Best Comedy Supporting Actor (Henry Winkler, “Barry”). Of these five defending champs, Hader is the one most likely to pick up a second straight statuette, according to 42 percent of our readers.
With 18/5 odds, Hader is the frontrunner to win Best Comedy Actor again, slightly ahead of “The Kominsky Method” star Michael Douglas. The two split the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Awards in January, with Douglas taking the former and Hader, the latter. Neither emerged victorious at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, where Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) prevailed in the single comedy actor race.
Emmy voters have also loved repeat winners in this category in recent years; since 2000, only six people have won once for the same role, not counting Hader. Plus, “Barry” just kicked off its second season, so it’ll be fresher in voters’ minds.
In second place with 34 percent is Borstein, who also leads our odds in Best Comedy Supporting Actress. She’ll have a new foe this time around in Anna Chlumsky (“Veep”), who’s been nominated five times but has yet to win. Will the sixth and final time be the charm? Like Best Comedy Actor, this category is also fond of repeat winners, as three people this decade have all won back to back: Julie Bowen (“Modern Family”), Allison Janney (“Mom”) and Kate McKinnon (“Saturday Night Live”).
There’s a huge drop to third place, which Brosnahan grabbed with 11 percent of the vote. Brosnahan has swept every major award so far for “Maisel,” but she has yet to face off against Emmy queen Julia Louis-Dreyfus, who’s aiming to be a perfect 7 for 7 for “Veep.” Louis-Dreyfus is favored to win, while Brosnahan is in second. If Brosnahan sneaks out the win, she’d be the first repeat champ outside of Louis-Dreyfus since Patricia Heaton (“Everybody Loves Raymond”) in 2001.
Just 9 percent believe “Maisel” can defend its Best Comedy Series crown with three-time champ “Veep” back in the mix with its seventh and final season. And only 4 percent think Winkler will go back to back. He’s in third place in our odds, behind Alan Arkin (“The Kominsky Method”) and two-time champ Tony Hale (“Veep”).
In the near future, you can check out how our experts rank this year’s Emmy contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Emmy predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on July 16.