“Black Panther” made Oscar history as the first superhero movie to earn a Best Picture nomination. The blockbuster Marvel movie also reaped six below-the-line bids: Best Costume Design, Best Makeup and Hairstyling, Best Production Design, Best Score, Best Song (“All the Stars”), Best Sound Editing and Best Sound Mixing.
But how many of its lucky seven Academy Awards races will “Black Panther” win on February 24? We are predicting that this smash hit will come up short in all of its Oscar races.
For “Black Panther,” the “win” is that it overcame the academy bias against comic book movies and broke down the barrier against such fare contending for Best Picture. That honor was denied to “The Dark Knight” and all 17 of the previous entries in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. But we don’t think Ryan Cooogler‘s movie will be ranked high enough on the preferential ballot to claim this top prize, which is likely to go to “Roma.”
We are predicting that one film — “The Favourite” — will win both Best Costume Design and Best Production Design as often happens at the Oscars.
We did not expect composer Ludwig Göransson to be nominated and are predicting that the Best Original Score award will go to Nicholas Britell for “If Beale Street Could Talk.”
Although Kendrick Lamar and SZA had a top 10 hit with the song “All the Stars,” they can’t compete against “Shallow,” the chart-topping tune from “A Star is Born” that was sung and co-written by Lady Gaga.
The sound of “Black Panther” seems muted next to the achievements of the sound editors who worked on “First Man” and captured the aural intensity of the Apollo XI launch and landing.
We don’t think that the sound mixers can overcome the academy’s love of tune-filled films in this race. We think that “A Star is Born” will win Best Sound Mixing as have other musicals such as “Chicago,” “Dreamgirls,” “Ray” and “Les Miserables.”
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until winners are announced on February 24.