“Bohemian Rhapsody” will earn four Oscar nominations on Tuesday (Jan. 22). We’re predicting that this biopic of Freddie Mercury, lead singer of the British band Queen, will be one of the 10 nominees for Best Picture. We think that Emmy winner Rami Malek (“Mr. Robot”) will reap his first Oscar bid for his eerie portrayal of the mercurial musician. In addition, we expect the film, which is set in the heyday of the band in the 1970s and 1980s, to contend for Best Costume Design. And, not surprisingly, we are predicting that this tune-filled film will be nominated for Best Sound Mixing.
But how many of these four races will “Bohemian Rhapsody” win?
We think its best hope for a win is in the ultra-competitive Best Actor race. Our current leader is Christian Bale for his takedown of politician Dick Cheney in “Vice.” Bale won at both the Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe awards. However he could have alienated some voters by making merry with politics.
That could well be the opening that Malek needs. He too won at the Golden Globes and his heartfelt acceptance speech certainly sounded like a winning audition for the Oscars. And he could get a boost from the boffo box office for the movie. As of this writing, “Bohemian Rhapsody” has grossed $200 domestically and $580 million in other territories (including $64 million in the UK),
Not surprisingly, this blockbuster contends for Best British film at the BAFTAs as well as in seven other races. Among these is Best Actor. If Malek can win over the home-grown crowd on Feb. 10, he is a strong contender to pull off an upset at the Oscars.
Of the other two races at which “Bohemian Rhapsody” is likely to contend at the Oscars, its best hope is Best Sound Mixing. While “A Star is Born” is currently out front, both movies are filled with music as were past winners “Chicago,” “Dreamgirls,” “Ray” and “Les Miserables.” We’ll know which film has the edge after the Cinema Audio Society awards on Feb. 16.
As for Best Costume Design, Julian Day is likely to lose both at the CDG awards and the Oscars to Sandy Powell for her elaborate creations for “The Favourite.” While Day has yet to earn an Academy Awards nomination, Powell has won three of her 12 Oscar bids to date (“Shakespeare in Love,” “The Aviator” and “The Young Victoria”).
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on January 22.