“The Favourite” missed out on an ensemble nomination at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, but it’s, uh, the favorite to win the same prize at Sunday’s Critics’ Choice Awards, per our predictions. However, it needs to watch out for “Black Panther.”
“The Favourite” has four Experts, four Editors and 17 Top 24 users picking it to win, compared to three Experts, three Editors and six users backing “Black Panther.” “Panther” has a lot of things going for it — it’s a cultural phenomenon and it boasts the largest cast of the nominees, with 13 eligible cast members. “The Favourite”‘s cast is the smallest of the five — with just five eligible cast members in Olivia Colman, Emma Stone, Rachel Weisz, Nicholas Hoult and Joe Alwyn — but the film arguably makes the best use of its players and their interactions.
If “The Favourite” pulls it out, it’d be the first film to win Best Ensemble at the Critics’ Choice Awards to not get a corresponding SAG Award nomination. Its SAG snub was surprising, given that its three stars, Colman, Stone and Weisz, reaped individual bids.
The SAG Awards also snubbed Critics’ Choice nominees “Vice” and “Widows,” which are in third and fifth place, respectively, so they’d make history too with a win. “Crazy Rich Asians,” the only other nominee besides “Panther” to be shortlisted at the SAG Awards, is in fourth place.
Since the ensemble category was added to Critics’ Choice 17 years ago, the Critics’ Choice and SAG Awards have crowned the same winner 12 times. The last time they disagreed was two years ago, when Critics’ Choice went with “Moonlight” and SAG selected “Hidden Figures.”
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.