Alfonso Cuaron better get another speech ready. The “Roma” helmer and Golden Globe champ is the runaway favorite to take home Best Director at Sunday’s Critics’ Choice Awards, according to our combined odds. It’d be Cuaron’s second win, following his first for “Gravity” (2013), and would make him the third person to win the category twice.
Cuaron would join Steven Spielberg and Martin Scorsese as two-time champs. Spielberg won for “Saving Private Ryan” (1998) and four years later for his 2002 films “Catch Me If You Can” and “Minority Report.” Scorsese triumphed for “The Aviator” (2004) and “The Departed” (2006). Unlike Spielberg, who has seven nominations, and Scorsese, who has five, Cuaron would also have a perfect 2-for-2 record if he wins.
Cuaron, who’s been scooping up director honors everywhere much like he did for “Gravity,” has near unanimous support from our Experts, Editors and Top 24 users, with just one rogue user, Billy Yudelson, going for Yorgos Lanthimos (“The Favourite”), who’s in third place. Cuaron comes into Critics’ Choice with six nominations, having also been shortlisted in Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay, Best Cinematography, Best Editing and Best Foreign Language Film.
Bradley Cooper (“A Star Is Born”) is in second place for one of the four Critics’ Choice nominations he has, along with Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay. Cooper would be the third actor-turned-director win, following Mel Gibson (“Braveheart,” 1995) and Ben Affleck (“Argo,” 2012).
In fourth place is Spike Lee (“BlacKkKlansman”), who might have better luck in the Best Adapted Screenplay race, where he’s predicted to prevail. Adam McKay (“Vice”) is in fifth place, followed by Peter Farrelly (“Green Book”) and Damien Chazelle (“First Man”).
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.