It’ll be no contest for “BlacKkKlansman” in the Best Adapted Screenplay race at the Critics’ Choice Awards. The film has a 9/2 lead in our combined odds to take the prize on Sunday, which would give Spike Lee his first Critics’ Choice Award statuette.
Lee co-wrote “BlacKkKlansman” with Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott. The quartet has the support of eight Experts, seven Editors and 19 of our Top 24 users. (Lee is nominated for Best Director and Best Picture as well, but he’s not favored to win in either of those categories.) Since “BlacKkKlansman” was snubbed in the Golden Globes’ single screenplay category, which was won by “Green Book,” this would be the first opportunity for Lee to give a televised speech.
In second place is Barry Jenkins for “If Beale Street Could Talk,” which is the choice of three of our top users. While Jenkins won the Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar for “Moonlight” (2016) with Tarell Alvin McCraney, “Moonlight” competed in the original category at Critics’ Choice, who went with Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”) and Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) in a tie.
One of our Experts, Susan King (Gold Derby), is tapping “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”, by Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, for the win, bringing it to third place. “A Star Is Born,” by Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper and Will Fetters, is in fourth place. This is one of Cooper’s four nominations, along with Best Picture, Best Director and Best Actor.
“Black Panther,” by Ryan Coogler and Joe Robert Cole, and “First Man,” by Josh Singer, who won in original with Tom McCarthy for “Spotlight” (2015), round out the top six.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.