Get ready to see a whole lot of Alfonso Cuaron at the Critics’ Choice Awards Sunday night. “Roma” is expected to top the ceremony with five wins, which would bring Cuaron to the stage all five times. The eight-time nominated film is favored in Best Picture, Best Director (Cuaron), Best Foreign Language Film, Best Cinematography (Cuaron) and Best Editing (Cuaron and Adam Gough). (See Gold Derby’s racetrack odds.) So, yeah, Cuaron would have a literal handful of trophies by the end of the night.
“The Favourite” leads the field with 14 nominations, but it’s only predicted to score four awards in the 19 categories we’re predicting (there are 25 categories total): Best Original Screenplay (Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara), Best Film Ensemble, Best Costume Design and Best Production Design. If it does win ensemble, “The Favourite” would be the first Critics’ Choice champ to not have a corresponding Screen Actors Guild Award nomination.
Two films are tipped to take home two statuettes each: “If Beale Street Could Talk (Best Supporting Actress for Regina King and Best Original Score) and “Vice” (Best Actor for Christian Bale and Best Hair and Makeup).
“Black Panther,” which has 12 nominations, is only forecasted to win Best Visual Effects, but it’s also probably a lock in a category we’re not predicting, Best Action Movie. “First Man,” which received 10 nominations, on the other hand, is expected to be shut out.
Meanwhile, nine-time nominee “A Star Is Born” is projected to duplicate its Golden Globes showing with a sole victory for Best Song (“Shallow”).
See our complete predictions by film below.
Best Director — Alfonso Cuaron
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Cinematography — Alfonso Cuaron
Best Editing — Alfonso Cuaron and Adam Gough
Best Original Screenplay — Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
Best Film Ensemble
Best Costume Design — Sandy Powell
Best Production Design — Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton
“If Beale Street Could Talk”
Best Supporting Actress — Regina King
Best Score — Nicholas Britell
Best Actor — Christian Bale
Best Hair and Makeup
Best Visual Effects
Best Adapted Screenplay — Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott and Spike Lee
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
Best Supporting Actor — Richard E. Grant
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”
Best Animated Feature
“A Star Is Born”
Best Song — “Shallow”
Best Actress — Glenn Close
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.