“Vice”‘s fake Shakespeare won’t be enough to take down Queen Anne and her barbs. “The Favourite” is the frontrunner to grab Best Original Screenplay honors at Sunday’s Critics’ Choice Awards, according to our combined odds.
Penned by Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, the eminently quotable and hilarious “Favourite” script is the pick of seven Experts, five Editors and 21 of our Top 24 users. The screenplay has already been honored by the British Independent Film Awards and the AACTA International Awards.
But “The Favourite” was also our predicted winner at the Golden Globes, and that didn’t turn out so well. The Globes opted to reward “Green Book” instead with its single screenplay award. “Green Book,” written by Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie and Peter Farrelly, is down in fifth place in our Critics’ Choice odds. If “Green Book” doesn’t prevail here, it’ll be the second straight year that the Globe champ doesn’t triumph in either of the Critics’ Choice’s two screenplay categories. Last year, the Globes went with “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” but “Get Out” won original and “Call Me by Your Name” won adapted at Critics’ Choice.
Critical darling “First Reformed” is in second place, backed by two Experts, two Editors and two of our top users. Paul Schrader has collected a plethora of critics awards for his script, including from the New York Film Critics Circle. Adam McKay‘s divisive “Vice” is in third place. McKay won a Critics’ Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay with Charles Randolph three years ago for “The Big Short.”
Bo Burnham‘s acutely realized coming-of-age tale “Eighth Grade” is in the sixth spot, followed by a script with barely any dialogue at all: Bryan Woods, Scott Beck and John Krasinski‘s “A Quiet Place.”
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.