Someone, I think it was a guy named Tom O’Neil, once told me that when it comes to predicting the Oscar tech categories, always go with whatever has the most. The most special effects, the most music, the most editing, the most sound, the most costumes and especially the most makeup and hair. That is how something like 2016’s unloved “Suicide Squad” came to earn a statuette for that last category.
But voting members of the Critics’ Choice Awards — myself being one — aren’t the academy, and perhaps we have more refined tastes when it comes to putty noses, fake scars and towering wigs. All I know is that I gasped when I first caught a glimpse of a chubby Christian Bale with sparse white hair and pot belly as Dick Cheney when “Vice’s” first trailer premiered last fall. I also laughed at how Sam Rockwell nailed it with his Dubya nose. They even tamped down Amy Adams‘ dewy skin and made her matronly as Lynne Cheney. That is why the scathingly humorous political biopic has the best odds to win at 4/1.
Eight out of nine Experts participating — Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Susan King (Gold Derby), Tariq Khan (Fox TV), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Adnan Virk (ESPN), Jack Matthews (Gold Derby) and myself — plus all seven Editors and 19 out of 2o Top 24 Users are backing “Vice.”
Second in command, with 13/2 odds? Curl for curl, rouged cheek for rouged cheek and gouty legs for gouty legs, “The Favourite” is a flashy competitor as well. But among the nine Experts piping up, only Peter Travers of Rolling Stone is going for the royal gals and guys in Queen Anne’s Court. One of the Top 24 Users, Gennadiy Fyodorov, also favors “The Favourite.”
In third place with 13/2 odds is “Black Panther.” Those decorative body scars didn’t raise themselves on Killmonger’s body and certainly the residents of Wakanda know how work such body flair as well as hair. Four of the Top 24 Users are in solidarity with the blockbuster superhero adventure.
Three other films trail behind, “Mary Queen of Scots” (7/1), “Suspiria” (15/2) and “Bohemian Rhapsody” (8/1) which would be a shoo-in if there were a “Best Dental Device” category. All will be revealed as Critics’ Choice voting begins on Thursday.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Jan. 13.