The stranglehold that “Black Mirror: Bandersnatch” has held on Gold Derby’s Emmy predictions for Best TV Movie has been released, with a new front-runner emerging in the form of “Deadwood: The Movie.” As more and more of our Emmy Experts watched HBO’s reunion telefilm, which was released on the final day of Emmy eligibility, it continued to creep up our winner’s chart. As of this writing, “Deadwood” now officially tops our combined predictions with leading 7/2 odds to win Best TV Movie, just ahead of the 37/10 odds for Netflix’s interactive entry “Bandersnatch.”
Thirteen years after the untimely cancellation of David Milch‘s historical western, the pay cabler brought back the entire “Deadwood” cast for a two-hour wrap-up movie. The film was set a decade after the events of the original show, with the return of George Hearst (Gerald McRaney) causing havoc for the residents of the town, including barkeep Al Swearengen (Ian McShane) and lawman Seth Bullock (Timothy Olyphant). It received positive reviews from TV critics, with a 97% score on Rotten Tomatoes and an 87 ranking on MetaCritic.
Of our two dozen Emmy Experts from major media outlets, these 16 believe that “Deadwood: The Movie” will win the top prize: Jen Chaney (Vulture), Debbie Day (Rotten Tomatoes), Eric Deggans (NPR), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Nikki Novak (Fandango), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Ent. Weekly), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Kaitlin Thomas (TVGuide.com), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Ben Travers (Indiewire), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Matt Webb Mitovich (TVLine) and Stacey Wilson Hunt (Gold Derby).
Not to be outdone, these six Experts predict a victory for “Bandersnatch”: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Kelly Lawler (USA Today), Ed Martin (Media Village), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby). This would be the third consecutive triumph for the “Black Mirror” franchise in the Best TV Movie category, following “San Junipero” in 2017 and “USS Callister” in 2018.
As for the other two Experts, Chris Harnick (E!) believes that HBO’s “My Dinner with Herve” will prevail and Mary Murphy (Gold Derby) goes out on a limb for Amazon’s “King Lear.”
Gold Derby’s staff editors who cover awards year-round are also split two ways. Chris Beachum, Eng, Marcus James Dixon, Daniel Montgomery, O’Neil and Paul Sheehan are gunning for “Deadwood,” while Rob Licuria, Matt Noble and Wloszczyna forecast “Bandersnatch.”
In addition, 10 of our Top 24 Users who did the best at predicting last year’s Emmy nominations now choose “Deadwood,” while 12 of our All-Star Users who’ve excelled at the past couple of years also predict a victory for the reunion special. See more Emmy odds and rankings.
PREDICT the Emmys now; change them until July 16
Be sure to make your 2019 Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominations are announced on July 16. And join in the fun debate over the 2019 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.
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