2019 Emmy nominations predictions: Our official odds in 24 top categories led by ‘Game of Thrones,’ ‘Veep,’ ‘Dannemora’ and more

The 2019 Emmy nominations are just a day away, so who will make the cut on Tuesday morning, July 16? For the last five months we’ve been consulting thousands of savvy Gold Derby users for their predictions, and those forecasts have been combined to calculate our official racetrack odds. Scroll down for our predictions in 24 top categories ranked in order of those odds, with projected winners highlighted in gold and potential dark horse contenders in italics. You can keep making or updating your picks here in our predictions center right up until nominations morning.

Among the users placing their bets are more than two dozen Expert journalists from top media outlets like the Los Angeles Times, TV Guide, Variety and of course Gold Derby. In the battle for the best Emmy predictions they’re facing off against the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations and Gold Derby’s very own Editors who cover awards year-round. But what usually happens is that one or more of our thousands of everyday users put us all to shame with their genius insights.

We’re predicting repeat victories in the top series races. “Veep” is ahead to win Best Comedy Series for a fourth time, and we think it will be joined in that category by last year’s winner “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” last year’s nominees “Barry” and “GLOW,” and first-time contenders “The Kominsky Method,” “The Good Place” and “Fleabag.”

Meanwhile, “Game of Thrones” is the odds-on favorite to win Best Drama Series for a record-tying fourth time. To date only a few shows have won that award four times: “Hill Street Blues,” “L.A. Law,” “The West Wing” and “Mad Men.” And “Thrones” may be helped by the fact that so many of its 2018 rivals took a gap year this season and aren’t eligible, like “The Crown,” “Stranger Things,” “The Handmaid’s Tale” and “Westworld.” But “Thrones” may yet be challenged by the six shows we think will join it in the Best Drama race: returning nominees “Better Call Saul” and “This is Us,” plus first-timers “Killing Eve,” “Ozark,” “Succession” and “Pose.”

How many of our predictions do you agree with? And in what categories are we totally out to lunch? Last year our collective odds correctly forecast 76.81% of the nominees, and the year before we were right about 76.53% of the nominees. So there’s room to outsmart us if you think you can anticipate the 23% of surprises we might miss. Check out our predictions below, and make or update your own right here.

BEST COMEDY SERIES
“Veep” — 5/1
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 11/2
“Barry” — 6/1
“The Kominsky Method” — 15/2
“The Good Place” — 9/1
“Fleabag” — 21/2
“GLOW” — 11/1

Dark Horse: “Russian Doll” — 12/1

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep” — 69/20
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 4/1
Allison Janney, “Mom” — 7/1
Natasha Lyonne, “Russian Doll” — 15/2
Phoebe Waller-Bridge, “Fleabag” — 15/2
Pamela Adlon, “Better Things” — 19/2

Dark Horse: Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie” — 20/1

BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Bill Hader, “Barry” — 7/2
Michael Douglas, “The Kominsky Method” — 4/1
Ted Danson, “The Good Place” — 5/1
Don Cheadle, “Black Monday” — 15/2
Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish” — 21/2
Jim Carrey, “Kidding” — 13/1

Dark Horse: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory” — 16/1

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 71/20
Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live” — 9/2
Anna Chlumsky, “Veep” — 5/1
Betty Gilpin, “GLOW” — 8/1
Marin Hinkle, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 19/2
Olivia Colman, “Fleabag” — 19/2

Dark Horse: D’Arcy Carden, “The Good Place” — 22/1

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Arkin, “The Kominsky Method” — 4/1
Henry Winkler, “Barry” — 9/2
Tony Hale, “Veep” — 9/2
Tony Shalhoub, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 11/2
Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” — 21/2
Kenan Thompson, “Saturday Night Live” — 16/1

Dark Horse: Matt Walsh, “Veep” — 22/1

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Jane Lynch, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 4/1
Maya Rudolph, “The Good Place” — 9/2
Sandra Oh, “Saturday Night Live” — 6/1
Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory” — 13/2
Cate Blanchett, “Documentary Now” — 9/1
Rachel Brosnahan, “Saturday Night Live” — 13/1

Dark Horse: Wanda Sykes, “Black-ish” — 15/1

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Peter MacNicol, “Veep” — 4/1
John Mulaney, “Saturday Night Live” — 9/2
Bob Newhart, “The Big Bang Theory” — 6/1
Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” — 13/2
Adam Sandler, “Saturday Night Live” — 8/1
Luke Kirby, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 12/1

Dark Horse: Danny DeVito, “The Kominsky Method” — 14/1

BEST DRAMA SERIES
“Game of Thrones” — 5/1
“Killing Eve” — 6/1
“Better Call Saul” — 13/2
“This is Us” — 7/1
“Ozark” — 15/2
“Succession” — 9/1
“Pose” — 13/1

Dark Horse: “Homecoming” — 14/1

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Sandra Oh, “Killing Eve” — 18/5
Laura Linney, “Ozark” — 5/1
Jodie Comer, “Killing Eve” — 5/1
Julia Roberts, “Homecoming” — 11/2
Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones” — 7/1
Christine Baranski, “The Good Fight” — 11/1

Dark Horse: Robin Wright, “House of Cards” — 25/1

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul” — 4/1
Jason Bateman, “Ozark” — 9/2
Richard Madden, “Bodyguard” — 5/1
Sterling K. Brown, “This is Us” — 6/1
Billy Porter, “Pose” — 15/2
Kit Harington, “Game of Thrones” — 10/1

Dark Horse: Brian Cox, “Succession” — 22/1

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Julia Garner, “Ozark” — 4/1
Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones” — 9/2
Maisie Williams, “Game of Thrones” — 9/2
Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul” — 15/2
Sophie Turner, “Game of Thrones” — 8/1
Susan Kelechi Watson, “This is Us” — 23/2

Dark Horse: Fiona Shaw, “Killing Eve” — 18/1

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones” — 17/5
Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul” — 9/2
Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, “Game of Thrones” — 5/1
Bobby Cannavale, “Homecoming” — 13/2
Kieran Culkin, “Succession” — 7/1
Michael Kelly, “House of Cards” — 18/1

Dark Horse: Peter Mullan, “Ozark” — 20/1

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Cherry Jones, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 39/10
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Apocalypse” — 9/2
Phylicia Rashad, “This is Us” — 11/2
Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder” — 6/1
Carice van Houten, “Game of Thrones” — 15/2
Connie Britton, “American Horror Story: Apocalypse” — 21/2

Dark Horse: Laverne Cox, “Orange is the New Black” — 18/1

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Bradley Whitford, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 37/10
Ron Cephas Jones, “This is Us” — 9/2
Michael McKean, “Better Call Saul” — 11/2
James Cromwell, “Succession” — 13/2
Christopher Meloni, “Pose” — 17/2
Tituss Burgess, “The Good Fight” — 16/1

Dark Horse: Denis O’Hare, “This is Us” — 18/1

BEST LIMITED SERIES
“Escape at Dannemora” — 39/10
“Chernobyl” — 9/2
“When They See Us” — 5/1
“Fosse/Verdon” — 5/1
“Sharp Objects” — 11/2

Dark Horse: “A Very English Scandal” — 15/1

BEST TV MOVIE
“Deadwood: The Movie” — 7/2
“Black Mirror: Bandersnatch” — 37/10
“King Lear” — 9/2
“Brexit” — 11/2
“My Dinner with Herve” — 13/2

Dark Horse: “Native Son” — 15/1

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
Patricia Arquette, “Escape at Dannemora” — 37/10
Michelle Williams, “Fosse/Verdon” — 4/1
Amy Adams, “Sharp Objects” — 9/2
Joey King, “The Act” — 17/2
Emma Stone, “Maniac” — 10/1
Connie Britton, “Dirty John” — 13/1

Dark Horse: Ruth Wilson, “Mrs. Wilson” — 25/1

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, “True Detective” — 9/2
Sam Rockwell, “Fosse/Verdon” — 5/1
Hugh Grant, “A Very English Scandal” — 5/1
Benicio Del Toro, “Escape at Dannemora” — 13/2
Jared Harris, “Chernobyl” — 7/1
Ian McShane, “Deadwood: The Movie” — 9/1

Dark Horse: Jharrel Jerome, “When They See Us” — 13/1

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Clarkson, “Sharp Objects” — 7/2
Patricia Arquette, “The Act” — 4/1
Emily Watson, “Chernobyl” — 6/1
Carmen Ejogo, “True Detective” — 9/1
Sally Field, “Maniac” — 11/1
Emma Thompson, “King Lear” — 12/1

Dark Horse: Vera Farmiga, “When They See Us” — 13/1

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ben Whishaw, “A Very English Scandal” — 18/5
Paul Dano, “Escape at Dannemora” — 11/2
George Clooney, “Catch-22” — 11/2
Michael Kenneth Williams, “When They See Us” — 7/1
Kyle Chandler, “Catch-22” — 17/2
Norbert Leo Butz, “Fosse/Verdon” — 14/1

Dark Horse: Eric Lange, “Escape at Dannemora” — 18/1

BEST COMPETITION PROGRAM
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 69/20
“The Amazing Race” — 9/2
“The Voice” — 5/1
“Top Chef” — 7/1
“The Masked Singer” — 8/1
“American Ninja Warrior” — 9/1

Dark Horse: “America’s Got Talent: The Champions” — 28/1

BEST REALITY HOST
RuPaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 16/5
Jane Lynch, “Hollywood Game Night” — 4/1
The Fab Five, “Queer Eye” — 9/2
Ellen DeGeneres, “Ellen’s Game of Games” — 5/1
Amy Poehler and Nick Offerman, “Making It”

Dark Horse: W. Kamau Bell, “United Shades of America” — 20/1

BEST VARIETY TALK SERIES
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” — 7/2
“Late Show with Stephen Colbert” — 4/1
“Late Late Show with James Corden” — 11/2
“Jimmy Kimmel Live” — 7/1
“Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” — 7/1
“The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” — 15/2

Dark Horse: “Late Night with Seth Meyers” — 37/1

BEST VARIETY SKETCH SERIES
“Saturday Night Live” — 17/5
“Documentary Now” — 4/1
“At Home with Amy Sedaris” — 11/2
“Who is America” — 6/1
“Drunk History” — 13/2
“Tracey Ullman’s Show” — 17/2

Dark Horse: “I Love You, America with Sarah Silverman” — 75/1

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominations are announced on July 16. And join in the fun debate over the 2019 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

More News from GoldDerby

Loading