The last two Emmy winners for Best Movie/Mini Actor have been unusually young for a category that usually gravitates towards elder statesmen. Riz Ahmed (“The Night Of”) won in 2017 when he was 34, and then Darren Criss (“The Assassination of Gianni Versace”) prevailed in 2018 at age 31. Criss was actually the second youngest actor ever to win that prize. Could another whippersnapper prevail in 2019. Our current racetrack odds favor the veterans, but a number of younger stars have the potential to sneak through.
Our odds (check them out here) are calculated by combining the predictions of thousands of Gold Derby readers like you who have made their forecasts here in our predictions center, and as of this writing the top six contenders for Best Movie/Mini Actor skew older. The youngest, in fact, is current front-runner Mahershala Ali (“True Detective”) at 45. He’s followed in our odds by Sam Rockwell (50) for “Fosse/Verdon,” Hugh Grant (58) for “A Very English Scandal,” Benicio Del Toro (52) for “Escape at Dannemora,” Ian McShane (76) for “Deadwood” and Anthony Hopkins (81) for “King Lear.”
The youngest actor ever to win Best Movie/Mini Actor was Anthony Murphy, who was 17 when he won for “Tom Brown’s Schooldays” in 1973. One actor could contend this year who’s even younger (14-year-old Anthony Gonzalez in the telefilm “Icebox”). But a usurper may be more likely to come in the form of another man in his 30s.
For instance, 33-year-old Christopher Abbott (“Catch-22”) ranks among the top 10 contenders in our odds; his Hulu miniseries is based on a classic novel and it’s well-timed, premiering on May 17 so it’ll be fresh in voters’ minds. There’s also a chance that 35-year-old Jonah Hill (“Maniac”) could follow his two Oscar nominations with his first ever Emmy bid, even though he missed out at the Golden Globes and SAG Awards this past winter. And Daniel Radcliffe (“Miracle Workers”), who turns 30 in July, could be a rare comedic contender for the award; he may be young, but the erstwhile “Harry Potter” has been in the industry for most of his life.
To date, no one in is 20s has ever won the award, but watch out for Ashton Sanders (23) for “Native Son,” Jharrel Jerome (21) for “When They See Us” and Fionn Whitehead (21) for “Black Mirror: Bandersnatch.” Sanders plays a challenging lead role in a literary adaptation from a powerhouse Emmy network (HBO). Jerome plays a biographical role who suffers immensely in a project from another Emmy juggernaut (Netflix). Whitehead also appears on a Netflix program, which is the two-time reigning champion for Best TV Movie to boot. So they all look good on paper.
What do you think? Can any of those younger stars pull down the average age of this category, or will their elders resume their dominance?
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominations are announced on July 16. And join in the fun debate over the 2019 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.