Will the Golden Globes make it up to Aaron Paul (‘El Camino’)? He only has 1 nomination and has never won

Will Aaron Paul finally cash in his Golden Globes IOU? He was an awards magnet for “Breaking Bad,” but not when it came to the Hollywood Foreign Press. However, he could get another chance this year since he reprised his role as Jesse Pinkman in Netflix’s “El Camino: A Breaking Bad Movie.” He’s a contender for Best Movie/Mini Actor for the sequel film.

Paul won three Emmys for Best Drama Supporting Actor for playing Jesse on “Breaking Bad” (2010, 2012, 2014). That was more than any other actor had ever won in that category until Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) broke that record with his fourth win this past September. Paul also won a Critics’ Choice Award for his supporting role, plus a Screen Actors Guild Award as a member of the “Breaking Bad” ensemble. But the Golden Globes were never that into the AMC antihero drama.

In fact, “Breaking Bad” didn’t win a single Golden Globe until 2014 for its final season, when it won Best Drama Series and Best TV Drama Actor (Bryan Cranston). That was the same year Paul earned his sole nom in the supporting category, which combines performances in dramas, comedies, movies and limited series. But Paul lost to Jon Voight (“Ray Donovan”).

How about now? Paul is front-and-center in “El Camino,” which takes place in the immediate aftermath of the “Breaking Bad” finale. As of this writing he ranks fourth for Best Movie/Mini Actor with 11/2 odds according to the combined predictions of more than 1,000 Gold Derby users. And he’s got some stiff competition, including the reigning Emmy champ Jharrel Jerome (“When They See Us”), who is our current Globes front-runner with 82/25 odds.

Sometimes the Globes like to rubber-stamp the Emmy champ, as they did last year by awarding Darren Criss (“The Assassination of Gianni Versace”). But sometimes they change course, as they did in 2017 when they picked Tom Hiddleston (“The Night Manager”) instead of Emmy winner Courtney B. Vance (“The People v. O.J. Simpson”).

“El Camino” is also more recent, having premiered in October. The Golden Globes often favor brand new TV programs, as they did in this category in 2016 by picking Oscar Isaac in “Show Me a Hero,” which had just aired the previous August. Though in this case you could say the Globes are still late to the party since plenty of other awards groups have honored Paul for this role already. But whether you consider the ahead of the curve or behind it, Paul could potentially steer into that skid.

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until nominations are announced. And join in the fierce debate over the 2020 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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