Will Keith Urban FINALLY win Entertainer of the Year at ACM Awards on his 9th try?

Keith Urban has been a country music mainstay for decades now, so it’s perhaps surprising that he has never won Entertainer of the Year at the Academy of Country Music Awards. But it hasn’t been for a lack of trying. This year he’s nominated for the top prize for the ninth time. Could this be the year he finally takes it?

Urban has lost three times to Kenny Chesney (2005, 2006, 2008), twice to Carrie Underwood (2009, 2010), once to Taylor Swift (2011) and twice to Jason Aldean (2017, 2018). Why can’t he catch a break? It’s not like the academy isn’t fond of him; he has been awarded 14 times at the ACM Awards, including Male Artist of the Year in 2005 and 2006. But voters have a blind spot for him in the top category.

But there’s hope. Urban also suffered a long drought at the Country Music Association Awards. He won Entertainer of the Year there on his first try (2005), but then he lost nine times (2006-2011, 2014, 2016, 2017) before finally winning again last fall. So perhaps the ACMs will be inclined to follow suit.

Urban has only one other ACM nomination this year, Male Artist of the Year, which could put him at a disadvantage. However, the only nominee in the Entertainer of the Year race with more nominations is Chris Stapleton who leads all artists with six noms (tied with Dan and Shay), but he hasn’t won either.

According to the combined predictions of hundreds of Gold Derby users, the aforementioned Aldean will win for the fourth year in a row; he gets leading odds of 82/25. Given his three past victories, we know the academy loved Aldean, and he’s receiving the Artist of the Decade Award on top of that.

But maybe the decade award will actually work against Aldean here. Since voters already know he’ll be taken care of with a grand honorary prize, perhaps they’ll want to look elsewhere in the Artist of the Year race. If so, no one is more due for the honor than Urban. Do you think he can pull off an upset?

Be sure to make your ACM predictions so that music insiders can see this year’s contenders are faring in our ACM odds. You can keep changing your predictions until winners are announced. And join the discussion on this and more taking place right now in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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