With Lewis Capaldi’s ‘Someone You Loved’ rising on the charts, will he be the next Ed Sheeran at the Grammys?

Lewis Capaldi has steadily been climbing up the Billboard Hot 100 singles chart with his breakthrough hit “Someone You Loved” (watch the video above), and on the chart dated September 28 it reached the top five for the first time, climbing from number-nine to number-four. Can the sensitive 22-year-old Scotsman — and second cousin of “Doctor Who” actor Peter Capaldi — next follow in the Grammy footsteps of Ed Sheeran?

Sheeran was also a modest British balladeer before rising to international superstardom. His debut single “The A Team,” about a young woman struggling with drug addiction, earned him one Grammy nomination in 2013, but it was a big one: a surprise bid for Song of the Year. Since then he has won that category (for “Thinking Out Loud” in 2016), one of four Grammys he has won to date, and he has become a reliable hit-maker.

And “The A Team” never even charted as high in the US as “Someone You Loved” already has, so this song wouldn’t take us nearly as much by surprise if the recording academy includes it in their lineup. In the top four general field categories — Record, Song and Album of the Year, plus Best New Artist — the final decisions are made by nomination review committees, who often like to save a spot or two for new singer-songwriters, like Corinne Bailey Rae for “Put Your Records On” (2007), Sara Bareilles for “Love Song” (2009), Hozier for “Take Me to Church” (2015) and Julia Michaels for “Issues” (2018).

With the general field categories expanded to eight slots, there’s more room than ever for Capaldi to slide in. And we already think he will: “Someone You Loved” is already in the top four in our odds for Song of the Year based on the combined predictions of over 1,000 Gold Derby users who have given us their forecasts here in our predictions center. Do you agree that Capaldi is a contender?

Be sure to make your Grammy predictions so that record executives and top name stars can see how their music is faring in our Grammy odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until nominations are announced. And join in the fierce debate over the 2020 Grammys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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