It has been a busy month for the music industry: the American Music Awards will be presented on Sunday night, November 24, right on the heels of the CMA Awards and the Grammy nominations announcement. So who will take top honors when the AMAs are handed out? Scroll down for our official predictions in all 29 categories, listed in order of their racetrack odds with our projected winners highlighted in gold.
Our odds are based on the combined predictions of hundreds of Gold Derby users who have given us their forecasts here in our predictions center. That includes Gold Derby’s Editors who cover movie, music, TV and theater awards year-round, as well as the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s AMAs. There’s still time for you to go their to make or edit your own picks before the awards are handed out.
Post Malone enters these awards as the top contender with a leading seven nominations, including Artist of the Year. He’s followed by Ariana Grande and Billie Eilish with six apiece. But having the most nominations doesn’t necessarily indicate a greater likelihood of winning here since these prizes are decided by music fans voting for their favorites online. So whether you have five nominations or 50, what matters is having the largest and most committed fan base.
Joining Malone and Grande in the race for Artist of the Year are Halsey, Drake and Taylor Swift, the last of whom is already a guaranteed winner at the event since she will receive the honorary Artist of the Decade Award for her achievements throughout the 2010s, which includes a record four previous Artist of the Year victories (2009, 2011, 2013, 2018). Swift also has the potential to set a new record as the most awarded artist in AMAs history with this year’s competitive nominations.
Do you agree with our forecasts? See our complete predictions below, and give us your own before time runs out.
ARTIST OF THE YEAR
Taylor Swift — 16/5
Ariana Grande — 4/1
Halsey — 4/1
Drake — 9/2
Post Malone — 9/2
NEW ARTIST OF THE YEAR
Billie Eilish — 7/2
Luke Combs — 19/5
Lil Nas X — 4/1
Lizzo — 4/1
Ella Mai — 9/2
COLLABORATION OF THE YEAR
“Shallow,” Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper — 17/5
“Old Town Road,” Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray Cyrus — 39/10
“Senorita,” Shawn Mendes and Camila Cabello — 4/1
“Sunflower,” Post Malone and Swae Lee — 4/1
“Happier,” Mashmello and Bastille — 9/2
FAVORITE MUSIC VIDEO
“You Need to Calm Down,” Taylor Swift — 16/5
“Old Town Road,” Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray Cyrus — 4/1
“7 Rings,” Ariana Grande — 4/1
“Bad Guy,” Billie Eilish — 9/2
“Without Me,” Halsey — 9/2
FAVORITE SOCIAL ARTIST
BTS — 16/5
Billie Eilish — 4/1
Ariana Grande — 9/2
Shawn Mendes — 9/2
EXO — 9/2
TOUR OF THE YEAR
BTS — 16/5
Ariana Grande — 39/10
Ed Sheeran — 9/2
Pink — 9/2
Elton John — 9/2
POP/ROCK
FAVORITE FEMALE ARTIST (POP/ROCK)
Taylor Swift — 13/10
Ariana Grande — 9/4
Billie Eilish — 57/20
FAVORITE MALE ARTIST (POP/ROCK)
Post Malone — 27/20
Drake — 11/5
Khalid — 57/20
FAVORITE DUO OR GROUP (POP/ROCK)
BTS — 13/10
Jonas Brothers — 11/5
Panic! At the Disco — 29/10
FAVORITE ALBUM (POP/ROCK)
“Lover,” Taylor Swift — 27/20
“Thank U, Next,” Ariana Gtande — 9/4
“When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?,” Billie Eilish — 11/4
FAVORITE SONG (POP/ROCK)
“Sucker,” Jonas Brothers — 10/3
“Old Town Road,” Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray cyrus — 37/10
“Sunflower,” Post Malone and Swae Lee — 9/2
“Without Me,” Halsey — 9/2
“High Hopes,” Panic! At the Disco — 9/2
COUNTRY
FAVORITE FEMALE ARTIST (COUNTRY)
Carrie Underwood — 13/10
Maren Morris — 11/5
Kelsea Ballerini — 59/20
FAVORITE MALE ARTIST (COUNTRY)
Luke Combs — 13/10
Kane Brown — 47/20
Thomas Rhett — 14/5
FAVORITE DUO OR GROUP (COUNTRY)
Dan and Shay — 5/4
Florida Georgia Line — 23/10
Old Dominion — 3/1
FAVORITE ALBUM (COUNTRY)
“Cry Pretty,” Carrie Underwood — 13/10
“Dan and Shay,” Dan and Shay — 11/5
“Experiment,” Kane Brown — 29/10
FAVORITE SONG (COUNTRY)
“God’s Country,” Blake Shelton — 29/20
“Speechless,” Dan and Shay — 39/20
“Beautiful Crazy,” Luke Combs — 29/10
RAP/HIP-HOP
FAVORITE ARTIST (RAP/HIP-HOP)
Post Malone — 7/5
Cardi B — 21/10
Drake — 57/20
FAVORITE ALBUM (RAP/HIP-HOP)
“Hollywood’s Bleeding,” Post Malone — 13/10
“Astroworld,” Travis Scott — 11/5
“Championships,” Meek Mill — 59/20
FAVORITE SONG (RAP/HIP-HOP)
“Old Town Road,” Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray Cyrus — 5/4
“Wow,” Post Malone — 47/20
“Sicko Mode,” Travis Scott — 57/20
SOUL/R&B
FAVORITE FEMALE ARTIST (SOUL/R&B)
Lizzo — 13/10
Beyonce — 11/5
Ella Mai — 29/10
FAVORITE MALE ARTIST (SOUL/R&B)
Khalid — 5/4
Bruno Mars — 23/10
Chris Brown — 59/20
FAVORITE ALBUM (SOUL/R&B)
“Free Spirit,” Khalid — 5/4
“Ella Mai,” Ella Mai — 23/10
“Indigo,” Chris Brown — 59/20
FAVORITE SONG (SOUL/R&B)
“Talk,” Khalid — 7/5
“Juice,” Lizzo — 41/20
“Trip,” Ella Mai — 59/20
OTHER GENRES
FAVORITE ALTERNATIVE ROCK ARTIST
Billie Eilish — 5/4
Imagine Dragons — 49/20
Panic! At the Disco — 11/4
FAVORITE ADULT CONTEMPORARY ARTIST
Taylor Swift — 5/4
Pink — 12/5
Maroon 5 — 57/20
FAVORITE LATIN ARTIST
Bad Bunny — 7/5
J Balvin — 41/20
Ozuna — 59/20
FAVORITE CONTEMPORARY INSPIRATIONAL ARTIST
Lauren Daigle — 5/4
For King and Country — 12/5
MercyMe — 29/10
FAVORITE ELECTRONIC DANCE MUSIC ARTIST
Avicii — 27/20
Marshmello — 11/5
The Chainsmokers — 57/20
FAVORITE SOUNDTRACK ALBUM
“A Star is Born” — 5/4
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 47/20
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” — 29/10
Be sure to make your AMA predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see this year’s contenders are faring in our AMA odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on November 24. And join the discussion on this and more taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.
