Oscar nominations predictions 2019: Complete racetrack odds in all 24 categories

We’re inching closer and closer to the announcement of the 2019 Oscar nominations on Tuesday, January 22 at 5:20 a.m. PT/8:20 a.m. ET. Tracee Ellis Ross (“Black-ish”) and Kumail Nanjiani (“The Big Sick”) will reveal this year’s nominations, which Gold Derby will stream live. Presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, this year’s 91st Academy Awards honors films that were released within the 2018 calendar year. The ceremony airs February 24 on ABC and will likely be host-less for the first time in 30 years. Scroll down to see Gold Derby’s racetrack odds in all 24 Oscar categories, with projected winners highlighted in gold and potential spoilers in italics.

Our odds are calculated by combining the predictions of more than 7,300 Gold Derby users who have entered their picks in our predictions center. That includes Expert journalists we’ve polled from top media outlets, Gold Derby’s Editors who cover awards year-round, our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Oscar bids, the All-Star Users who’ve done the best predicting the past several years of Oscar nominations, and everyday Users like you.

Expect some of the big Oscar nominations leaders to be “A Star Is Born,” “BlacKkKlansman,” “Bohemian Rhapsody,” “Black Panther,” “Crazy Rich Asians” and “Vice,” as they did well with the industry guild awards. Other big names to watch out for are the films that claimed top prizes at recent televised precursors, including “Roma” (Critics’ Choice Award winner for Best Picture), “The Favourite” (Critics’ Choice Award winner for Best Ensemble) and “Green Book” (Golden Globe winner for Best Film Comedy/Musical).

BEST PICTURE
“A Star Is Born” — 7/1
“Roma” — 7/1
“Green Book” — 8/1
“The Favourite” — 17/2
“BlacKkKlansman” — 17/2
“Black Panther” — 19/2
“Vice” — 21/2
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 13/1
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 14/1
“First Man” — 25/1
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 48/1

BEST DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuaron (“Roma”) — 82/25
Bradley Cooper (“A Star Is Born”) — 4/1
Spike Lee (“BlacKkKlansman”) — 9/2
Yorgos Lanthimos (“The Favourite”) — 6/1
Peter Farrelly (“Green Book”) — 21/2
Adam McKay (“Vice”) — 22/1

BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close (“The Wife”) — 71/20
Lady Gaga (“A Star Is Born”) — 39/10
Olivia Colman (“The Favourite”) — 4/1
Melissa McCarthy (“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”) — 5/1
Emily Blunt (“Mary Poppins Returns”) — 19/2
Yalitza Aparicio (“Roma”) — 13/1

BEST ACTOR
Christian Bale (“Vice”) — 19/5
Bradley Cooper (“A Star Is Born”) — 39/10
Rami Malek (“Bohemian Rhapsody”) — 4/1
Viggo Mortensen (“Green Book”) — 9/2
John David Washington (“BlacKkKlansman”) — 9/1
Ethan Hawke (“First Reformed”) — 13/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”) — 17/5
Amy Adams (“Vice”) — 39/10
Rachel Weisz (“The Favourite”) — 9/2
Emma Stone (“The Favourite”) — 9/2
Claire Foy (“First Man”) — 15/2
Nicole Kidman (“Boy Erased”) — 42/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali (“Green Book”) — 17/5
Richard E. Grant (“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”) — 4/1
Sam Elliott (“A Star Is Born”) — 5/1
Timothee Chalamet (“Beautiful Boy”) — 11/2
Adam Driver (“BlacKkKlansman”) — 6/1
Michael B. Jordan (“Black Panther”) — 25/1

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“BlacKkKlansman” — 71/20
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 39/10
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 9/2
“A Star Is Born” — 9/2
“Black Panther” — 19/2
“First Man” — 25/1

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“The Favourite” — 7/2
“Roma” — 4/1
“Green Book” — 9/2
“Vice” — 11/2
“First Reformed” — 8/1
“Eighth Grade” — 10/1

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“Roma” — 16/5
“First Man” — 9/2
“The Favourite” — 9/2
“A Star Is Born” — 6/1
“Cold War” — 19/2
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 21/2

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“The Favourite” — 17/5
“Black Panther” — 19/5
“Mary Poppins Return” 9/2
“Mary Queen of Scots” — 9/2
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 12/1
“Fantastic Beasts 2” — 18/1

BEST FILM EDITING
“Roma” — 39/10
“First Man” — 9/2
“A Star Is Born” — 5/1
“The Favourite” — 13/2
“Vice” — 15/2
“BlacKkKlansman” — 16/1

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
“Vice” — 8/5
“Black Panther” — 57/20
“Mary Queen of Scots” — 15/2
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 11/1

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“The Favourite” — 71/20
“Black Panther” — 37/10
“Mary Poppins Return” — 5/1
“First Man” — 11/2
“Roma” — 19/2
“A Star Is Born” — 14/1

BEST SCORE
“First Man” — 69/20
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 4/1
“Black Panther” — 9/2
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 5/1
“Isle of Dogs” — 7/1
“BlacKkKlansman” — 16/1

BEST SONG
“Shallow” (“A Star Is Born”) — 16/5
“All the Stars” (“Black Panther”) — 4/1
“I’ll Fight” (“RBG”) — 5/1
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” (“Mary Poppins Returns”) — 6/1
“Trip a Little Light Fantastic” (“Mary Poppins Returns”) — 9/1
“Girl in the Movies” (“Dumplin'”) — 21/2

BEST SOUND EDITING
“First Man” — 7/2
“Black Panther” — 4/1
“A Quiet Place” — 4/1
“A Star Is Born” — 11/2
“Roma” — 13/2
“Mission Impossible: Fallout” — 22/1

BEST SOUND MIXING
“A Star Is Born” — 18/5
“First Man” — 39/10
“Black Panther” — 11/2
“A Quiet Place” — 11/2
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 7/1
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 12/1

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
“Black Panther” — 18/5
“Avengers: Infinity War” — 4/1
“Ready Player One” — 9/2
“First Man” — 5/1
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 7/1
“Solo: A Star Wars Story” — 18/1

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Incredibles 2” — 37/10
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” –37/10
“Isle of Dogs” — 4/1
“Ralph Breaks the Internet” — 9/2
“Mirai” — 11/2
“Early Man” — 92/1

SEE Watch a tech-bedeviled Oscar predictions slugfest of staggering genius: Michael Musto vs. Jeff Wells vs. Tom O’Neil

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“Won’t You Be My Neighbor?” — 10/3
“Free Solo” — 4/1
“RBG” — 9/2
“Three Identical Strangers” — 11/2
“Minding the Gap” — 11/2
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening” — 28/1

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Roma” — 16/5
“Cold War” — 39/10
“Shoplifters” — 9/2
“Capernaum” — 5/1
“Burning” — 15/2
“Never Look Away” — 18/1

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
“Bao” — 17/5
“Bilby” — 9/2
“Lost and Found” — 5/1
“Weekends” — 11/2
“Animal Behaviour” — 6/1
“Bird Karma” — 18/1

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
“Black Sheep” — 19/5
“Zion” — 19/5
“End Game” — 9/2
“Period. End of Sentence.” — 11/2
“Women of the Gulag” — 6/1
“Los Comandos” — 33/1

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
“Caroline” — 18/5
“Marguerite” — 4/1
“Detainment” — 9/2
“Skin” — 11/2
“Icare” — 6/1
“Fauve” — 20/1

PREDICT the Oscar nominations now; change them until January 22

Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on January 22.

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