Let’s hope that Marina de Tavira was watching the Academy Awards nominations announcement. She defied our odds and was cited for her scene-stealing supporting turn in “Roma.” In so doing, she became the 18th performer to reap an Oscar bid with first contending at either the Golden Globes OR the Critics’ Choice OR the SAG Awards.
Below, we enumerate the lucky few who came out of left field to make history at the Oscars by being nominated without first having been in the running at at least one of these awards. However, for all of these that had to be reward enough as none won.
Be sure to compare this roster of those who defied the odds and reaped surprise Oscar bids without contending at any of these awards with those 23 performers who were snubbed by the academy despite nominations at the Critics’ Choice, SAG Awards and Golden Globes. The newest of these also-rans are Emily Blunt (“Mary Poppins Returns”) and Timothee Chalamet (“Beautiful Boy”). They numbered among this year’s roster of 16 performers who had reaped bids at all three key precursor prizes.
(Note: Marcia Gay Harden won the Best Supporting Actress Oscar for “Pollock” without any precursor bids. However, that was in 2000, the year before the Critics’ Choice introduced nominations. Frances McDormand won with that group for both “Almost Famous” and “Wonder Boys,” Kate Hudson took home the Globe for “Almost Famous” and Judi Dench prevailed at SAG for “Chocolat.” All three lost to Harden at the Oscars as did Julie Walters for “Billy Elliot.”)
Clint Eastwood, “Million Dollar Baby” (2004)
Tommy Lee Jones, “In the Valley of Elah” (2007)
Javier Bardem, “Biutiful” (2010)
Gary Oldman, “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” (2011)
Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper” (2014)
Laura Linney, “The Savages” (2007)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Djimon Hounsou, “In America” (2003)
Alan Alda, “The Aviator” (2004)
William Hurt, “A History of Violence” (2005)
Michael Shannon, “Revolutionary Road” (2008)
Max von Sydow, “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” (2011)
Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street” (2013)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Shohreh Aghdashloo, “House of Sand and Fog” (2003)
Maggie Gyllenhaal, “Crazy Heart” (2009)
Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook” (2012)
Laura Dern, “Wild” (2014)
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread” (2017)
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until winners are announced on February 24.