After months of anticipation and what has felt like hundreds of awards from various media and industry groups, the Oscars are finally upon us. All 24 categories will be handed out on Sunday night, February 24, during a ceremony hosted by … well, no on in particular. Maybe. But who will win? Scroll down for our complete predictions in every category from Best Picture all the way to Best Live Action Short. The nominees are listed in order of their racetrack odds, with our projected winners highlighted in gold.
As of this writing more than 6,000 registered Gold Derby users have chimed in with their Oscar picks. That includes the Expert journalists we’ve polled from major media outlets, the Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Oscar winners, and the All-Star Top 24 who had the best prediction scores when you combine the last two year’s Oscar results. Last, of course, is our vast assortment of everyday Users, one of whom will almost certainly put the rest of our predictions to shame.
Some years a strong industry consensus forms around one film, as when “Argo” (2012) and “Birdman” (2014) swept the major guild prizes on their way to Oscar victories for Best Picture. But this year has been divided. “Green Book” was looking good after it won Best Picture at the Producers Guild Awards, but then director Peter Farrelly was snubbed at the Oscars. “Black Panther” won the SAG Award for its ensemble cast, but it too underperformed in the Oscar nominations.
Then “Roma” won the Directors Guild Award and then followed that up with a BAFTA victory for Best Picture. And it’s tied with “The Favourite” as the year’s most nominated film at the Oscars. So it’s our front-runner for Best Picture going into Oscar weekend. But other films have looked strong in recent years only to be tripped up at the finish line. “The Revenant” (2015) looked like the top contender until it was upset by “Spotlight.” And right after that “La La Land” (2016) looked like it had everything sewn up until it was bested by “Moonlight” in one of the biggest upsets in history.
Do you think you have this year’s race all figured out? Check out our predictions in all 24 categories below. You can make or update your own forecasts here before Sunday night’s main event.
BEST PICTURE
“Roma” — 4/1
“Green Book” — 11/2
“BlacKkKlansman” — 7/1
“The Favourite” — 7/1
“Black Panther” — 8/1
“A Star is Born” — 8/1
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 19/2
“Vice” — 19/2
BEST DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma” — 31/10
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman” — 39/10
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite” — 9/2
Adam McKay, “Vice” — 9/2
Pawel Pawlikowski, “Cold War” — 9/2
BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close, “The Wife” — 31/10
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite” — 4/1
Lady Gaga, “A Star is Born” — 4/1
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma” — 9/2
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 9/2
BEST ACTOR
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody” — 16/5
Christian Bale, “Vice” — 39/10
Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born” — 9/2
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book” — 9/2
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate” — 9/2
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk” — 16/5
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite” — 4/1
Amy Adams, “Vice” — 4/1
Marina de Tavira, “Roma” — 9/2
Emma Stone, “The Favourite” — 9/2
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book” — 31/10
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 39/10
Sam Elliott, “A Star is Born” — 4/1
Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman” — 9/2
Sam Rockwell, “Vice” — 9/2
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“BlacKkKlansman” — 31/10
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 4/1
“Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 4/1
“A Star is Born” — 9/2
“The Balladof Buster Scruggs” — 9/2
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“The Favourite” — 82/25
“Green Book” — 19/5
“Roma” — 4/1
“First Reformed” — 9/2
“Vice” — 9/2
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“Roma” — 31/10
“The Favourite” — 4/1
“Cold War” — 4/1
“A Star is Born” — 9/2
“Never Look Away” — 9/2
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“The Favourite” — 10/3
“Black Panther” — 71/20
“Mary Queen of Scots” — 9/2
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 9/2
“The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” — 9/2
BEST FILM EDITING
“Vice” — 17/5
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 19/5
“BlacKkKlansman” — 4/1
“The Favourite” — 4/1
“Green Book” — 9/2
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
“Vice” — 6/5
“Mary Queen of Scots” — 47/20
“Border” — 59/20
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“The Favourite” — 10/3
“Black Panther” — 37/10
“Roma” — 9/2
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 9/2
“First Man” — 9/2
BEST SCORE
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 17/5
“Black Panther” — 37/10
“BlacKkKlansman” — 9/2
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 9/2
“Isle of Dogs” — 9/2
BEST SONG
“Shallow” from “A Star is Born” — 3/1
“All the Stars” from “Black Panther” — 4/1
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” from “Mary Poppins Returns” — 9/2
“I’ll Fight” from “RBG” — 9/2
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings” from “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” — 9/2
BEST SOUND EDITING
“First Man” — 18/5
“A Quiet Place” — 19/5
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 4/1
“Black Panther” — 4/1
“Roma” — 9/2
BEST SOUND MIXING
“Bohemian Rhapsody” — 69/20
“A Star is Born” — 19/5
“First Man” — 4/1
“Black Panther” — 9/2
“Roma” — 9/2
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
“Avengers: Infinity War” — 10/3
“First Man” — 37/10
“Ready Player One” — 4/1
“Solo: A Star Wars Story” — 9/2
“Christopher Robin” — 9/2
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” — 31/10
“Incredibles 2” — 4/1
“Isle of Dogs” — 4/1
“Ralph Breaks the Internet” — 9/2
“Mirai” — 9/2
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“Free Solo” — 17/5
“RBG” — 18/5
“Minding the Gap” — 4/1
“Hale County This Morning, This Evening” — 9/2
“Of Fathers and Songs” — 9/2
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Roma” — 31/10
“Cold War” — 39/10
“Shoplifters” — 9/2
“Never Look Away” — 9/2
“Capernaum” — 9/2
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
“Bao” — 31/10
“Weekends” — 4/1
“Animal Behaviour” — 9/2
“One Small Step” — 9/2
“Late Afternoon” — 9/2
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
“Black Sheep” — 71/20
“Period. End of Sentence.” — 18/5
“End Game” — 4/1
“A Night at the Garden” — 9/2
“Lifeboat” — 9/2
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
“Marguerite” — 17/5
“Skin” — 37/10
“Detainment” — 4/1
“Fauve” — 9/2
“Mother” — 9/2
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until winners are announced on February 24.
