Eight won’t be enough this time. There is a chance that all eight Best Picture nominees win at least one Oscar this year, but 63 percent of our readers think that there definitely won’t be Oscars for everyone.
In the expanded Best Picture era, only once has the entire slate of Best Picture nominees taken home a prize: four years ago, when there was also “only” eight Best Picture nominees, the fewest since the academy adopted the fluctuating five-to-10 nominee scale seven years ago.
As we laid out, all eight Best Picture nominees this year are strong frontrunners in at least one category and/or have upset potential in others. In fact, “Black Panther” is the only one who is not predicted to win any of its seven races, but it’s giving chase to “The Favourite” in Best Costume Design and Best Production Design.
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“Black Panther” (7 nominations): costume design, production design or original score
“BlacKkKlansman” (6): adapted screenplay
“Bohemian Rhapsody” (5): actor
“The Favourite” (10): original screenplay, costume design or production design
“Green Book” (5): supporting actor or original screenplay
“Roma” (10): picture, director, cinematography or foreign language film
“A Star Is Born” (8): original song or sound mixing
“Vice” (8): editing or makeup and hairstyling
Many of our readers agreed that it hinges on “Black Panther” pulling out a win somewhere, but even then, there might be another film that gets shut out. “I have all of them predicted to win at least one thing, but I could see a day where ‘Black Panther’ doesn’t win anything, and on the flip side, if ‘Black Panther’ is able to pull an upset in song, which I’m starting to think it possible, then I don’t think that [‘A Star Is Born’] is winning anything,” user Kellen wrote.
Added user Michael Eduard: “I can see ‘Black Panther’ or ‘The Favourite’ going home with nothing as they fight against each other in most of their races.”
The remaining 37 percent believe all eight will bag at least one statuette, but user Richardskin isn’t as confident this go-around as he was for the 87th Academy Awards. “I don’t think it’s as probable as when it happened in 2014 (which I totally predicted correctly ;-)),” he wrote. “But it’s very possible… Especially if each film only needs 1 award.”
PREDICT the Oscar winners now; change them until Feb. 24
Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Oscar contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Oscar predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on Feb. 24.
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