When “The Amazing Race” might be away, another show could come out and play. “The Amazing Race” might miss the Emmys for the first time ever; its original May 22 premiere date for Season 31 basically guaranteed it, but its new date of April 17, announced Friday, means there’s a chance it could get all its hanging episodes in for consideration.
But if “The Amazing Race” is indeed out, that means an open slot in the newly renamed Outstanding Competition Series category — a category, of course, that “The Amazing Race” has won a whopping 10 times. This is a huge opportunity for a show to shake up a very static category — there’s no reason to think the other five nominees last year, reigning champ “RuPaul’s Drag Race,” “American Ninja Warrior,” “Project Runway,” “Top Chef” and “The Voice,” won’t be back — and 42 percent of our readers hope the possible slot goes to the ol’ workhorse “Survivor.”
A four-time nominee, “Survivor” is responsible for birthing modern reality shows and is still going strong in its 38th season. Its Emmy trajectory, however, is another story. It was nominated the first four year’s of the category’s existence, from 2003-06, and has not found a way to make it back since. It has never won the award — only four shows have, “The Amazing Race” (2003-09, 2011-12, 2014), “The Voice” (2013, 2015-17), “Top Chef” (2010) and “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (2018) — but Jeff Probst did win the host award four times before getting dropped.
But “Survivor” will have its work cut out for it because when you’re dropped in this category, it’s basically a death knell. No show that has been voluntarily dumped by voters in this category, as opposed to an ineligibility-induced absence like “The Amazing Race”‘s this year, has ever been nominated again. Voters don’t look back here. Other multiple nominees voters have cast aside over the years, never to return: nine-time nominee “American Idol,” which got 3 percent of the vote to come back; 11-time nominee “Dancing with the Stars,” which got 0 percent; and five-time nominee “So You Think You Can Dance,” which earned 5 percent.
In second place with 16 percent of the vote is “The Masked Singer,” which has already shaken up reality TV and the tired singing competition show, so it could and should inject some excitement into this category. Tied at 8 percent are two long-running shows that have never been nominated before, “Big Brother” and “America’s Got Talent.” Both series have two versions of their shows that they could submit separately, the original and spin-offs “Celebrity Big Brother” and “America’s Got Talent: The Champions.”
Also receiving 5 percent are “World of Dance,” which has two seasons eligible, “MasterChef Junior” and the option of “other.” “Ellen’s Game of Games,” which has bagged Ellen DeGeneres a host nomination, grabbed 2 percent, followed by “Hell’s Kitchen” (1 percent) and “Match Game” (0 percent).
In the near future, you can check out how our experts rank this year’s Emmy contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Emmy predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on July 16.