“Fleabag” may be the toast of the town, but will it be the toast of the Screen Actors Guild Awards? Not according to our odds, which have “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” on track to win a second straight comedy ensemble award.
“Maisel” holds a slight edge over “Fleabag,” with 37/10 odds to 39/10, and would be one of six comedies to successfully defend its title, following “Desperate Housewives” (2005-06), “The Office” (2007-08), “Seinfeld” (1997-98; the series also won the very first award in 1995), “Orange Is the New Black” (2015-17) and “Modern Family” (2011-14). In fact, “Sex and the City” is the only multiple champ that did not have a consecutive streak of wins, triumphing in 2002 and 2004. Including “Maisel,” only nine shows have won comedy ensemble once in the SAG Awards’ 25-year history.
A “Maisel” defense would not be shocking in the least since the SAG Awards loves rubber-stamping, even when shows don’t have much awards heat elsewhere (see: the wins for “Orange,” “Downton Abbey,” William H. Macy for “Shameless”). And SAG-AFTRA is sort of playing catch-up with “Maisel” since, like it’s done with many new shows not on Netflix, it completely overlooked the Amazon series for its first awards-sweeping first season. “Maisel” won all three comedy categories earlier this year at the SAG Awards, the first show to do so since “30 Rock” in 2009.
And yes, “Fleabag” is beloved and dominated the Emmys, with comedy series and lead actress victories among its six wins. But “Maisel” didn’t do too shabby either, claiming eight Emmys, including four for its actors. SAG voters will also get their hands on the upcoming third season, set to drop Dec. 6, in time for voting, which runs from Nov. 14 to Dec. 8.
In third place in our odds is former champ “Veep,” followed by “Barry” and “Dead to Me.”
Be sure to make your SAG Awards nominee predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on December 11. And join in the fun debate over the 2020 SAG Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.