‘Toy Story 4’ leads Oscar predictions for Best Animated Feature (82/25 odds)

News flash: “Toy Story 4” currently tops Gold Derby’s combined Oscar odds, the Experts’ picks and those wily All Star Top 24 users’ choices for Best Animated Feature. Now it might be a bit early to crown the latest plaything buddy pic from Pixar given that Disney’s sequel to 2013’s “Frozen,” which took the animated-feature trophy along with a prize for its original song “Let It Go,” won’t open until November 22. But it isn’t too foolish to place early bets on the latest chapter in the franchise, given that Pixar has the winning-est record in this category, with 9 statuettes out of 12 nominations.

If there were an Oscar category dedicated to animated features in 1995 when “Toy Story” — Pixar’s first-ever full-length film as well as its first-ever fully computer-animated film — opened in theaters, chances are it might have won. Instead, director John Lasseter had to make do with an Academy Special Achievement Award along with three Oscar nominations for original song (Randy Newman‘s “You’ve Got a Friend in Me”), original musical or comedy score and Best Original Screenplay — the first animated film to compete for its script.

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“Toy Story 2” from 1999 had only one chance to vie for an Oscar — Newman’s ditty, “When She Loved Me.” But after the Best Animated Feature category made its debut on the ballot in the 2002 contest, 2010’s “Toy Story 3” wasn’t just playing around. Not only was it just the third animated movie to claim a spot in the Best Picture line-up after 1991’s “Beauty and the Beast” and 2009’s “Up,” the sequel won Best Animated Feature and original song  (Newman’s “We Belong Together”) as well as noms for sound editing and adapted screenplay.

Judging just by the combined odds chart, “Toy Story 4” is acting like Tony Hale‘s Forky and running away with the title, with 1,943 users predicting it to triumph vs. just 326 failing to let go of “Frozen II.” And don’t fully discount the third helping of “How to Train Your Dragon,” which managed to please the critics. Here are the racetrack standings as of November 13.


1. “Toy Story 4” – 82/25
2. “Frozen II” – 4/1
3. “How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World” – 5/1
4. “Abominable” – 7/1
5. “Missing Link” – 17/2
6. “Weathering With You” – 12/1
7. “Klaus” – 37/1
8. “I Lost My Body” – 37/1
9. “Bunuel in the Labyrinth of the Turtles” – 72/1
10. “The Addams Family” – 100/1

Be sure to make your Oscar nominee predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on January 13. And join in the fun debate over the 2020 Academy Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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