Martin Scorsese is certainly a Golden Globes favorite, with three victories for directing “Gangs of New York” (2002), “The Departed” (2006) and “Hugo” (2011). Yet when it comes to their Best Film categories, he’s been far less successful, with a single victory for “The Aviator” (2004) 15 years ago. That losing streak could finally be broken with “The Irishman,” a meditative mob epic that’s emerged as a major frontrunner.
According to our racetrack odds, the Netflix release is out front to win Best Drama Film with odds of 69/20. Close behind are “Joker,” “Marriage Story,” “1917” and “The Two Popes.” Oddly enough, it’s the only award the movie is predicted to receive, although it could very well surprise in Best Director, Best Supporting Actor (Al Pacino or Joe Pesci) or Best Screenplay (Steven Zaillian).
Prior to prevailing in Best Drama Film for his Howard Hughes biopic, Scorsese contended in the category for “Raging Bull” (1980), “GoodFellas” (1990), “The Age of Innocence” (1993) and “Gangs of New York,” earning an additional bid in Best Comedy/Musical Film for “New York, New York” (1977). Oddly enough, he didn’t take that prize for “The Departed,” which brought him his career-first Oscar wins for Best Picture and Best Director. He subsequently contended in drama for “Hugo” and in comedy for “The Wolf of Wall Street” (2013).
Among our Experts, 17 out of 24 are predicting “The Irishman” to triumph: Tariq Kahn (Fox TV), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Susan King (Gold Derby), Perri Nemiroff (Collider), Alicia Malone (Turner Classic Movies), Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Scott Mantz (Collider), Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Edward Douglas (The Beast), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Edward Deggans (NPR), Jen Chaney (Vulture), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Wilson Morales (BlackFilm), Christopher Rosen (Decider) and Michael Musto (NewNowNext). So perhaps Marty should start clearing space on his mantle before Sunday night’s ceremony.
Be sure to make your Oscar nominee predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on January 13. And join in the fun debate over the 2020 Academy Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.