‘Uncut Gems’ predicted to win the most Independent Spirit Awards this weekend, but ‘Marriage Story’ will take Best Feature

The 2020 Independent Spirit Awards will be handed out on Saturday, February 8, in 18 competitive categories honoring the best in low-budget filmmaking. We’re predicting 13 of those categories here in our predictions center, and we think the gambling thriller “Uncut Gems” will come away with the most awards, but not the top prize. Scroll down to see our predictions by film, and make or update your own predictions here.

“Uncut Gems” is tied with “The Lighthouse” with a leading five nominations, and according to the combined predictions of thousands of Gold Derby users, it’ll win Best Director (Benny Safdie and Josh Safdie), Best Male Lead (Adam Sandler) and Best Editing. However, the Netflix domestic drama “Marriage Story” is expected to win Best Feature.

All you have to do to vote for the Spirit Award winners is to become a member of Film Independent by paying yearly dues of $95, so their winners tend to be more populist, often honoring the highest-profile awards season contender in any given category. In this case that’s “Marriage Story,” which is the only contender for Best Feature that earned any nominations at the Oscars (it has six bids there, including Best Picture).

“Marriage Story” is also expected to win its only other competitive nomination: Best Screenplay for writer-director Noah Baumbach. It will come away with a third victory just like “Uncut Gems,” but in an honorary category: the Robert Altman Award, which goes to the director, casting director and ensemble cast. That’s why the film is missing from the individual acting and directing categories.

Do you agree with our predictions? Place your bets before time runs out.

“Uncut Gems”
Best Director — Benny Safdie and Josh Safdie
Best Male Lead — Adam Sandler
Best Editing

“Marriage Story”
Best Feature
Best Screenplay
Robert Altman Award (honorary)

“The Lighthouse”
Best Supporting Male — Willem Dafoe
Best Cinematography

“American Factory”
Best Documentary

Best First Feature

Best Supporting Female — Jennifer Lopez

Best Female Lead — Renee Zellweger

Best International Film

“See You Yesterday”
Best First Screenplay

Be sure to make your Indie Spirit predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 8. And join in the fierce debate over the 2020 Spirit Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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