Dueling Emmy predictions for Best Actress: Experts and Editors say Kate Winslet, Top Users say Anya Taylor-Joy

Ever since “Mare of Easttown” aired on HBO in the spring, it has ascended up our Emmy odds to the point where it has put immense pressure on longtime front-runner “The Queen’s Gambit,” especially in the race for Best Movie/Limited Actress. But who’s out front now depends on who you ask.

Kate Winslet (“Mare of Easttown”) is now the one to beat according to the Expert journalists we’ve surveyed from major media outlets: 11 of them are betting on her to prevail for her role as a troubled detective struggling to solve two cases, while nine say Anya Taylor-Joy (“Queen’s Gambit”) is still the favorite for playing an equally troubled chess prodigy. The Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby agree, with eight of them backing Winslet compared to just two backing Taylor-Joy.

But not so fast! The Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Emmy nominations are still heavily favoring Taylor-Joy: 13 are betting on the chess phenom, while only four have jumped on the Winslet bandwagon so far. The same is true of our All-Star Top 24, who got the highest predictions scores when you combine the Emmy nomination results from the last couple of years: 15 of them say Taylor-Joy, while four say Winslet.

On paper, you’d think Winslet would have the clear edge. She’s the more established star, an Oscar and Emmy winner who claimed this very award for “Mildred Pierce” in 2011. But the television academy has been welcoming younger stars in recent years, awarding 20-somethings Jodie Comer (“Killing Eve”), Jharrel Jerome (“When They See Us”) and Zendaya (“Euphoria”) in lead-acting categories in the last two years. And Taylor-Joy swept the Golden Globe, Critics Choice, and SAG Awards this past spring, though “Mare” hadn’t aired yet so she didn’t have to face Winslet. The Emmys will be the first time they go head-to-head. And it looks like it’s going to be close.

emmys best movie limited actress predictions widget

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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