Golden Globes nominee profile: Josh O’Connor (‘The Crown’) is a dark horse to win on his first ever nomination

Josh O’Connor scored his first Golden Globe nomination this year for playing Prince Charles on “The Crown.” Netflix changed its awards strategy for the show’s acclaimed fourth season by swapping its chief male actors, as Tobias Menzies as Prince Philip was submitted as a supporting actor, with O’Connor taking his place in the lead race. It paid off for O’Connor, who was snubbed last year when he was submitted in the crowded catch-all supporting category.

Granted, he only appeared in four of last season’s 10 episodes, whereas this season, the actor appeared in nine of the 10, as the Prince of Wales is at the center of the action alongside Princess Diana (fellow Globe nominee Emma Corrin).

SEE 2021 Golden Globes nominations list: Nominees for 78th annual ceremony

Netflix’s flagship drama “The Crown” was created by Oscar, Emmy and Tony-nominated writer Peter Morgan. The series’s current cast debuted in 2019 for its third season, with Oscar winner Olivia Colman replacing Emmy winner Claire Foy as Queen Elizabeth II, Tobias Menzies stepping in for Matt Smith as Prince PhillipHelena Bonham Carter replacing Vanessa Kirby as Princess Margaret, and a raft of new characters joining the fold like O’Connor as Charles and Erin Doherty as Princess Anne.

The fourth season, which premiered its highly anticipated fourth season last November to rapturous reviews stateside (it got an impressive 97% “certified fresh” rating at Rotten Tomatoes), introduced relative newcomer Corrin as Diana and Emmy and Golden Globe winner Gillian Anderson as UK prime minister Margaret Thatcher.

O’Connor is nominated in the Best TV Drama Actor category alongside Emmy winners Jason Bateman (“Ozark”), Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) and Matthew Rhys (“Perry Mason”), as well as Oscar and Emmy-winning legend Al Pacino (“Hunters”). Of this group, O’Connor is the sole newbie up against four Globe favorites. Bateman has five nominations to date, winning on his first go for “Arrested Development” in 2005. Odenkirk has four Globe nominations and Rhys has three, while Pacino has a staggering 18 Globe nominations, winning four (for “Serpico” in 1974, “Scent of a Woman” in 1993, “Angels in America” in 2004 and “You Don’t Know Jack” in 2011), not to mention he also received the HFPA’s prestigious Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2001.

SEE Prepare yourselves for another ‘Crown’ coronation at the Golden Globes

Can O’Connor actually triumph against such heavyweights? The HFPA has already awarded two actors from “The Crown,” and they both played the Queen: Foy for the first season and Colman for the third. But the show is not invincible, as John Lithgow, who won a truckload of awards for playing British PM Winston Churchill in the show’s first season, lost the Globe to Hugh Laurie for “The Night Manager” four years ago.

However, ‘The Crown” seems to be on a roll everywhere you look this year. It has six Globe noms this year for Best Drama Series, lead actresses Colman and Corrin, lead actor O’Connor and supporting actresses Anderson and Bonham Carter. That’s up from three nominations in 2017, two in 2018 and four last year, and makes it the most nominated TV program this year.

Notwithstanding the star power in this line-up, Odenkirk, Pacino and Rhys are nominated for shows that are not also nominated in the Best Drama Series race, which dents their chances. The Globes have proved time and time again that winners usually hail from shows nominated in the top race. Over the last 10 years in this category, only Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”) in 2015 and Billy Bob Thornton (“Goliath”) in 2016 won this award without their shows also nominated in Best Drama Series.

If that trend holds true, then this might be a race between Bateman and O’Connor. The safe bet might ultimately be newbie O’Connor, though, as “Ozark” trails “The Crown” with four nominations, which admittedly is way up from a single nomination for each of its previous two seasons (for Bateman both times). But “Ozark” has never won a Globe, perhaps indicating less support among the foreign press. So there’s a strong chance the prince will reign.

This article is a part of Gold Derby’s “Golden Globes nominee profile” series spotlighting the 2021 contenders in film and TV.

PREDICT the 2021 Golden Globe winners through February 28

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s newsletter with experts’ latest predictions

More News from GoldDerby