After strong festival reviews, Kristen Stewart (‘Spencer’) leaps ahead of Lady Gaga (‘House of Gucci’) in Oscar odds

Kristen Stewart‘s performance as Princess Diana in Pablo Larrain‘s film “Spencerwas a hit with critics at the Venice Film Festival, where it premiered on September 3 followed by a North American bow at the Telluride Film Festival. As a result, Stewart has leapt ahead of Lady Gaga (“House of Gucci”) in our official Oscar odds for Best Actress.

Reviews have been celebrating Stewart for her “total mastery” of her role. She’s “entirely compelling” and was “inspired casting,” especially since Stewart “has known paparazzi scrutiny that is even somewhat comparable to the fusillade of flashbulbs that hounded Diana.” And now seven of the Expert journalists we’ve surveyed thus far are betting on Stewart to win: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Clayton Davis (Variety), Erik Davis (Fandango), Matthew Jacobs, Christopher Rosen (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), and Peter Travers (ABC).

Though Stewart is well known to movie audiences for her role in the blockbuster “Twilight” films, she has spent much of her career working with renowned filmmakers like Olivier Assayas and Kelly Reichardt in indie and art-house projects including “Into the Wild” (2007), “Adventureland” (2009), “Clouds of Sils Maria” (2014), “Still Alice” (2014), “Certain Women” (2016), and “Personal Shopper” (2016).

“Clouds” won her the Cesar Award for Best Supporting Actress, which made her the first American to win that honor from the French film organization. But her film output thus far hasn’t lined up with the academy’s tastes. However, starring in a biopic — albeit an unconventional one — could land her a nomination like it did for Natalie Portman in Larrain’s last movie about a troubled public figure, “Jackie” (2016).

But while Stewart has moved into the lead for now, critics and audiences still haven’t seen “House of Gucci,” so the pendulum could swing back the other way depending on how that whole movie compares to its viral trailer.

Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. See our latest prediction champs. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. Everybody wants to know: What do you think? Who do you predict and why?

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