How many hours of sleep have you lost thinking about Best Actress? Be honest. After the BAFTAs crowned Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”), which wasn’t entirely surprising, the four precursors have gone to four different Best Actress Oscar nominees. So who’s gonna win the craziest race in recent Oscar history? Our editors and Experts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng try to figure it out with voting about to commence on April 15. Watch our predictions slugfest above.
At the moment, neither of us has changed out picks because honestly, you could talk yourself into, say, Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”) and then Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom“) the next. That being said, one of us is pondering a switch to Andra Day (“The United States vs. Billie Holiday”) because in a fractured race, the baitest role may be the biggest advantage of all.
On the other hand, Best Actor was looking like a done deal until BAFTA threw a curveball by awarding Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”) over Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”). Boseman is still the heavy favorite for the Oscar, but is everyone too quick to dismiss Hopkins’ upset as a BAFTA-only thing? “The Father” has seen a surge of support in recent weeks in the wake of its release.
Meanwhile, Best Picture also looks settled, but could it be too settled? “Nomadland” appears like it’s going to sweep unbothered, but let’s be contrarian for a second and consider a possible upset. Though “The Trial of the Chicago 7” has risen to second in the odds after its Screen Actors Guild Awards ensemble win, we make the case for “Minari,” which now looks guaranteed to take home one award, in Best Supporting Actress for Yuh-Jung Youn.
And, of course, we could not end this without discussing our favorite category, Best Original Song, which now feels more within “Husavik’s” grasp. Or maybe we’re just biased.
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