“All right. Now I’m confident!” roars Anne Thompson (Indiewire) about her prediction in the Oscar Best race as she squares off against me, Pete Hammond (Deadline) and Tim Gray (Variety) in our video (watch above) and audio podcast (listen below). “I am confident in ‘Nomadland’ since it’s won all of the precursors. As for those who want to make arguments for ‘Chicago 7,’ it could go down winning nothing! Or winning one for just Best Editing. I’m not kidding. It could play out that way.”
Yes, that’s true, but there’s also the possibility that “Nomadland” could just win the Oscar for Best Cinematography and “The Trial of the Chicago 7” could snatch up Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Sacha Baron Cohen), Adapted Screenplay and Editing. Personally, I’m picking “Trial of the Chicago 7,” but I don’t feel strongly about it. Also, Pete reminds Anne of the year that “Brokeback Mountain” had swept nearly all of the precursors, snagging more than 26 Best Picture trophies during that derby season, as I kept count, but the top Oscar alas turned out to be a “Crash” heard ’round awardsland.
Let’s never forget that diva Golden Boy Oscar is in the entertainment biz, an industry that thrives on cliffhangers, plot twists and messing with your head. If you are tempted to steal these Oscar predictions by 4 top Experts, beware: there are lots of contrary opinions by other savvy pundits.
Check out all of our Experts’ predictions here. Use the drop-down menu to view other categories. Here are the racetrack odds generated per category after you combine all rankings. Alternate perspective: See how all 23 races look when the Experts’ predictions are viewed in the form of graphs charting the ups and downs since nominations were announced.
Disagree with our picks? Make your predictions here and see if you can prove that you are the smartest prognosticator in Hollywood.
BELOW: Audio podcast version of our chat.