Critics Choice nominations predictions: Movie awards will be led by ‘Banshees of Inisherin,’ ‘Fabelmans’ …

The Critics Choice Awards will announce their film nominees on Wednesday, December 14, two days after the Golden Globes revealed their official contenders. So who will make the cut? Scroll down for our predictions in 10 categories listed in order of our racetrack odds, with our projected winners highlighted in gold.

Our odds are generated by combining the predictions of thousands of Gold Derby users who have placed their bets here in our predictions center. That includes Expert journalists from major media outlets, the Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Critics Choice film nominations, and the All-Star Top 24 who had the best prediction scores when you count Critics Choice nomination results from the last two years.

Just a couple of days after the Globes gave “The Banshees of Inisherinthe most nominations, we’re betting on the Critics Choice Association to do the same in top categories. We’re betting on it eight times including Best Picture, Best Director (Martin McDonagh), and Best Actor (Colin Farrell). Following close behind with seven predicted nominations apiece are “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” “The Fabelmans,” and “Women Talking.”

But “The Fabelmans” is the film pundits collectively believe will win Best Picture and Best Director (Steven Spielberg). “Banshees,” “Everything,” and “Women Talking” will also be up for Picture, according to our odds. Rounding out that category will be “Top Gun: Maverick,” “TAR,” “Babylon,” “Avatar: The Way of Water,” “Glass Onion,” and “The Woman King.”

But when looking at our predictions, keep in mind that we’re not forecasting nominations in below-the-line categories, fields where crafts-heavy films like “Fabelmans,” “Top Gun,” “Avatar,” and “Everything” could greatly add to their nomination totals. So the character-driven “Banshees” might not be the top film here as it was at the mostly crafts-free Globes. Or maybe it will. We’ll find out on December 14.

“The Fabelmans” — 8/1
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 17/2
“The Banshees of Inisherin” — 10/1
“Women Talking” — 11/1
“Top Gun: Maverick” — 11/1
“TAR” — 12/1
“Babylon” — 16/1
“Avatar: The Way of Water” — 18/1
“Glass Onion” — 22/1
“The Woman King” — 25/1

Steven Spielberg, “The Fabelmans” — 9/2
DANIELS, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 11/2
Sarah Polley, “Women Talking” — 7/1
Todd Field, “TAR” — 17/2
Martin McDonagh, “The Banshees of Inisherin” — 19/2
James Cameron, “Avatar: The Way of Water” — 14/1

Cate Blanchett, “TAR” — 9/2
Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 5/1
Danielle Deadwyler, “Till” — 13/2
Michelle Williams, “The Fabelmans” — 7/1
Viola Davis, “The Woman King” — 9/1
Margot Robbie, “Babylon” — 12/1

Brendan Fraser, “The Whale” — 9/2
Colin Farrell, “The Banshees of Inisherin” — 5/1
Austin Butler, “Elvis” — 6/1
Bill Nighy, “Living” — 8/1
Tom Cruise, “Top Gun: Maverick” — 21/2
Paul Mescal, “Aftersun” — 16/1

Kerry Condon, “The Banshees of Inisherin” — 11/2
Jessie Buckley, “Women Talking” — 6/1
Jamie Lee Curtis, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 15/2
Claire Foy, “Women Talking” — 8/1
Hong Chau, “The Whale” — 12/1
Janelle Monae, “Glass Onion” — 14/1

Ke Huy Quan, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 9/2
Brendan Gleeson, “The Banshees of Inisherin” — 5/1
Ben Whishaw, “Women Talking” — 8/1
Paul Dano, “The Fabelmans” — 19/2
Judd Hirsch, “The Fabelmans” — 11/1
Barry Keoghan, “The Banshees of Inisherin” — 18/1

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 4/1
“The Fabelmans” — 5/1
“The Banshees of Inisherin” — 5/1
“TAR” — 6/1
“Triangle of Sadness” — 14/1

“Women Talking” — 4/1
“Glass Onion” — 5/1
“She Said” — 11/2
“The Whale” — 8/1
“Living” — 19/2

“Women Talking” — 9/2
“The Fabelmans” — 11/2
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” — 6/1
“Glass Onion” — 7/1
“The Banshees of Inisherin” — 11/1
“Babylon” — 16/1

“Pinocchio” — 4/1
“Turning Red” — 5/1
“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” — 11/2
“Wendell and Wild” — 17/2
“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” — 21/2

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